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NEW INFO 5 Results from share redemption are posted. Less than .2% redeemed. Very bullish as investors are showing extreme confidence in the future of PLBY.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/playboy-mountain-crest-acquisition-corp-120000721.html
NEW INFO 4 Definitive Agreement to purchase 100% of Lovers brand stores announced 2/1.
https://www.streetinsider.com/Corporate+News/Playboy+%28MCAC%29+Confirms+Deal+to+Acquire+Lovers/17892359.html
NEW INFO 3 I bought more on the dip today. 5081 total. Price rose AH to $12.38 (2.15%)
NEW INFO 2 Here is the full webinar.
https://icrinc.zoom.us/rec/play/9GWKdmOYumjWfZuufW3QXpe_FW_g--qeNbg6PnTjTMbnNTgLmCbWjeRFpQga1iPc-elpGap8dnDv8Zww.yD7DjUwuPmapeEdP?continueMode=true&tk=lEYc4F_FkKlgsmCIs6w0gtGHT2kbgVGbUju3cIRBSjk.DQIAAAAV8NK49xZWdldRM2xNSFNQcTBmcE00UzM3bXh3AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA&uuid=WN_GKWqbHkeSyuWetJmLFkj4g&_x_zm_rtaid=kR45-uuqRE-L65AxLjpbQw.1611967079119.2c054e3d3f8d8e63339273d9175939ed&_x_zm_rhtaid=866
NEW INFO 1 Live merger webinar with PLBY and MCAC on Friday January 29, 2021 at 12:00 NOON EST link below
https://mcacquisition.com/investor-relations/press-release-details/2021/Playboy-Enterprises-Inc.-and-Mountain-Crest-Acquisition-Corp-Participate-in-SPACInsider-ICR-Webinar-on-January-29th-at-12pm-ET/default.aspx
Playboy going public: Porn, Gambling, and Cannabis
!!!WARNING READING AHEAD!!! TL;DR at the end. It will take some time to sort through all the links and read/watch everything, but you should.
In the next couple weeks, Mountain Crest Acquisition Corp is taking Playboy public. The existing ticker MCAC will become PLBY. Special purpose acquisition companies have taken private companies public in recent months with great success. I believe this will be no exception. Notably, Playboy is profitable and has skyrocketing revenue going into a transformational growth phase.
Porn - First and foremost, let's talk about porn. I know what you guys are thinking. “Porno mags are dead. Why would I want to invest in something like that? I can get porn for free online.” Guess what? You are absolutely right. And that’s exactly why Playboy doesn’t do that anymore. That’s right, they eliminated their print division. And yet they somehow STILL make money from porn that people (see: boomers) pay for on their website through PlayboyTV, Playboy Plus, and iPlayboy. Here’s the thing: Playboy has international, multi-generational name recognition from porn. They have content available in 180 countries. It will be the only publicly traded adult entertainment (porn) company. But that is not where this company is going. It will help support them along the way. You can see every Playboy magazine through iPlayboy if you’re interested. NSFW links below:
https://www.playboy.com/
https://www.playboytv.com/
https://www.playboyplus.com/
https://www.iplayboy.com/
Gambling - Some of you might recognize the Playboy brand from gambling trips to places like Las Vegas, Atlantic City, Cancun, London or Macau. They’ve been in the gambling biz for decades through their casinos, clubs, and licensed gaming products. They see the writing on the wall. COVID is accelerating the transition to digital, application based GAMBLING. That’s right. What we are doing on Robinhood with risky options is gambling, and the only reason regulators might give a shit anymore is because we are making too much money. There may be some restrictions put in place, but gambling from your phone on your couch is not going anywhere. More and more states are allowing things like Draftkings, poker, state ‘lottery” apps, hell - even political betting. Michigan and Virginia just ok’d gambling apps. They won’t be the last. This is all from your couch and any 18 year old with a cracked iphone can access it. Wouldn’t it be cool if Playboy was going to do something like that? They’re already working on it. As per CEO Ben Kohn who we will get to later, “...the company’s casino-style digital gaming products with Scientific Games and Microgaming continue to see significant global growth.” Honestly, I stopped researching Scientific Games' sports betting segment when I saw the word ‘omni-channel’. That told me all I needed to know about it’s success.
“Our SG Sports™ platform is an enhanced, omni-channel solution for online, self-service and retail fixed odds sports betting – from soccer to tennis, basketball, football, baseball, hockey, motor sports, racing and more.”
https://www.scientificgames.com/
https://www.microgaming.co.uk/
“This latter segment has become increasingly enticing for Playboy, and it said last week that it is considering new tie-ups that could include gaming operators like PointsBet and 888Holdings.”
https://calvinayre.com/2020/10/05/business/playboys-gaming-ops-could-get-a-boost-from-spac-purchase/
As per their SEC filing:
“Significant consumer engagement and spend with Playboy-branded gaming properties around the world, including with leading partners such as Microgaming, Scientific Games, and Caesar’s Entertainment, steers our investment in digital gaming, sports betting and other digital offerings to further support our commercial strategy to expand consumer spend with minimal marginal cost, and gain consumer data to inform go-to-market plans across categories.”
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1803914/000110465921005986/tm2034213-12_defm14a.htm#tMDAA1
They are expanding into more areas of gaming/gambling, working with international players in the digital gaming/gambling arena, and a Playboy sportsbook is on the horizon.
https://www.playboy.com/read/the-pleasure-of-playing-with-yourself-mobile-gaming-in-the-covid-era
Cannabis - If you’ve ever read through a Playboy magazine, you know they’ve had a positive relationship with cannabis for many years. As of September 2020, Playboy has made a major shift into the cannabis space. Too good to be true you say? Check their website. Playboy currently sells a range of CBD products. This is a good sign. Federal hemp products, which these most likely are, can be mailed across state lines and most importantly for a company like Playboy, can operate through a traditional banking institution. CBD products are usually the first step towards the cannabis space for large companies. Playboy didn’t make these products themselves meaning they are working with a processor in the cannabis industry. Another good sign for future expansion. What else do they have for sale? Pipes, grinders, ashtrays, rolling trays, joint holders. Hmm. Ok. So it looks like they want to sell some shit. They probably don’t have an active interest in cannabis right? Think again:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/javierhasse/2020/09/24/playboy-gets-serious-about-cannabis-law-reform-advocacy-with-new-partnership-grants/?sh=62f044a65cea
“Taking yet another step into the cannabis space, Playboy will be announcing later on Thursday (September, 2020) that it is launching a cannabis law reform and advocacy campaign in partnership with National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws (NORML), Last Prisoner Project, Marijuana Policy Project, the Veterans Cannabis Project, and the Eaze Momentum Program.”
“According to information procured exclusively, the three-pronged campaign will focus on calling for federal legalization. The program also includes the creation of a mentorship plan, through which the Playboy Foundation will support entrepreneurs from groups that are underrepresented in the industry.” Remember that CEO Kohn from earlier? He wrote this recently:
https://medium.com/naked-open-letters-from-playboy/congress-must-pass-the-more-act-c867c35239ae
Seems like he really wants weed to be legal? Hmm wonder why? The writing's on the wall my friends. Playboy wants into the cannabis industry, they are making steps towards this end, and we have favorable conditions for legislative progress.
Don’t think branding your own cannabis line is profitable or worthwhile? Tell me why these 41 celebrity millionaires and billionaires are dummies. I’ll wait.
https://www.celebstoner.com/news/celebstoner-news/2019/07/12/top-celebrity-cannabis-brands/
Confirmation: I hear you. “This all seems pretty speculative. It would be wildly profitable if they pull this shift off. But how do we really know?” Watch this whole video:
https://finance.yahoo.com/video/playboy-ceo-telling-story-female-154907068.html
Man - this interview just gets my juices flowing. And highlights one of my favorite reasons for this play. They have so many different business avenues from which a catalyst could appear. I think paying attention, holding shares, and options on these staggered announcements over the next year is the way I am going to go about it. "There's definitely been a shift to direct-to-consumer," he (Kohn) said. "About 50 percent of our revenue today is direct-to-consumer, and that will continue to grow going forward.” “Kohn touted Playboy's portfolio of both digital and consumer products, with casino-style gaming, in particular, serving a crucial role under the company's new business model. Playboy also has its sights on the emerging cannabis market, from CBD products to marijuana products geared toward sexual health and pleasure.” "If THC does become legal in the United States, we have developed certain strains to enhance your sex life that we will launch," Kohn said. https://cheddar.com/media/playboy-goes-public-health-gaming-lifestyle-focus Oh? The CEO actually said it? Ok then. “We have developed certain strains…” They’re already working with growers on strains and genetics? Ok. There are several legal cannabis markets for those products right now, international and stateside. I expect Playboy licensed hemp and THC pre-rolls by EOY. Something like this: https://www.etsy.com/listing/842996758/10-playboy-pre-roll-tubes-limited?ga_order=most_relevant&ga_search_type=all&ga_view_type=gallery&ga_search_query=pre+roll+playboy&ref=sr_gallery-1-2&organic_search_click=1 Maintaining cannabis operations can be costly and a regulatory headache. Playboy’s licensing strategy allows them to pick successful, established partners and sidestep traditional barriers to entry. You know what I like about these new markets? They’re expanding. Worldwide. And they are going to be a bigger deal than they already are with or without Playboy. Who thinks weed and gambling are going away? Too many people like that stuff. These are easy markets. And Playboy is early enough to carve out their spot in each. Fuck it, read this too: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jimosman/2020/10/20/playboy-could-be-the-king-of-spacs-here-are-three-picks/?sh=2e13dcaa3e05
Numbers: You want numbers? I got numbers. As per the company’s most recent SEC filing:
“For the year ended December 31, 2019, and the nine months ended September 30, 2020, Playboy’s historical consolidated revenue was $78.1 million and $101.3 million, respectively, historical consolidated net income (loss) was $(23.6) million and $(4.8) million, respectively, and Adjusted EBITDA was $13.1 million and $21.8 million, respectively.”
“In the nine months ended September 30, 2020, Playboy’s Licensing segment contributed $44.2 million in revenue and $31.1 million in net income.”
“In the ninth months ended September 30, 2020, Playboy’s Direct-to-Consumer segment contributed $40.2 million in revenue and net income of $0.1 million.”
“In the nine months ended September 30, 2020, Playboy’s Digital Subscriptions and Content segment contributed $15.4 million in revenue and net income of $7.4 million.”
They are profitable across all three of their current business segments.
“Playboy’s return to the public markets presents a transformed, streamlined and high-growth business. The Company has over $400 million in cash flows contracted through 2029, sexual wellness products available for sale online and in over 10,000 major retail stores in the US, and a growing variety of clothing and branded lifestyle and digital gaming products.”
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1803914/000110465921005986/tm2034213-12_defm14a.htm#tSHCF
Growth: Playboy has massive growth in China and massive growth potential in India. “In China, where Playboy has spent more than 25 years building its business, our licensees have an enormous footprint of nearly 2,500 brick and mortar stores and 1,000 ecommerce stores selling high quality, Playboy-branded men’s casual wear, shoes/footwear, sleepwear, swimwear, formal suits, leather & non-leather goods, sweaters, active wear, and accessories. We have achieved significant growth in China licensing revenues over the past several years in partnership with strong licensees and high-quality manufacturers, and we are planning for increased growth through updates to our men’s fashion lines and expansion into adjacent categories in men’s skincare and grooming, sexual wellness, and women’s fashion, a category where recent launches have been well received.” The men’s market in China is about the same size as the entire population of the United States and European Union combined. Playboy is a leading brand in this market. They are expanding into the women’s market too. Did you know CBD toothpaste is huge in China? China loves CBD products and has hemp fields that dwarf those in the US. If Playboy expands their CBD line China it will be huge. Did you know the gambling money in Macau absolutely puts Las Vegas to shame? Technically, it's illegal on the mainland, but in reality, there is a lot of gambling going on in China. https://www.forbes.com/sites/javierhasse/2020/10/19/magic-johnson-and-uncle-buds-cbd-brand-enter-china-via-tmall-partnership/?sh=271776ca411e “In India, Playboy today has a presence through select apparel licensees and hospitality establishments. Consumer research suggests significant growth opportunities in the territory with Playboy’s brand and categories of focus.” “Playboy Enterprises has announced the expansion of its global consumer products business into India as part of a partnership with Jay Jay Iconic Brands, a leading fashion and lifestyle Company in India.” “The Indian market today is dominated by consumers under the age of 35, who represent more than 65 percent of the country’s total population and are driving India’s significant online shopping growth. The Playboy brand’s core values of playfulness and exploration resonate strongly with the expressed desires of today’s younger millennial consumers. For us, Playboy was the perfect fit.” “The Playboy international portfolio has been flourishing for more than 25 years in several South Asian markets such as China and Japan. In particular, it has strategically targeted the millennial and gen-Z audiences across categories such as apparel, footwear, home textiles, eyewear and watches.” https://www.licenseglobal.com/industry-news/playboy-expands-global-footprint-india It looks like they gave COVID the heisman in terms of net damage sustained: “Although Playboy has not suffered any material adverse consequences to date from the COVID-19 pandemic, the business has been impacted both negatively and positively. The remote working and stay-at-home orders resulted in the closure of the London Playboy Club and retail stores of Playboy’s licensees, decreasing licensing revenues in the second quarter, as well as causing supply chain disruption and less efficient product development thereby slowing the launch of new products. However, these negative impacts were offset by an increase in Yandy’s direct-to-consumer sales, which have benefited in part from overall increases in online retail sales so far during the pandemic.” Looks like the positives are long term (Yandy acquisition) and the negatives are temporary (stay-at-home orders).
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1803914/000110465921006093/tm213766-1_defa14a.htm
This speaks to their ability to maintain a financially solvent company throughout the transition phase to the aforementioned areas. They’d say some fancy shit like “expanded business model to encompass four key revenue streams: Sexual Wellness, Style & Apparel, Gaming & Lifestyle, and Beauty & Grooming.” I hear “we’re just biding our time with these trinkets until those dollar dollar bill y’all markets are fully up and running.” But the truth is these existing revenue streams are profitable, scalable, and rapidly expanding Playboy’s e-commerce segment around the world.
"Even in the face of COVID this year, we've been able to grow EBITDA over 100 percent and revenue over 68 percent, and I expect that to accelerate going into 2021," he said. “Playboy is accelerating its growth in company-owned and branded consumer products in attractive and expanding markets in which it has a proven history of brand affinity and consumer spend.”
Also in the SEC filing, the Time Frame:
“As we detailed in the definitive proxy statement, the SPAC stockholder meeting to vote on the transaction has been set for February 9th, and, subject to stockholder approval and satisfaction of the other closing conditions, we expect to complete the merger and begin trading on NASDAQ under ticker PLBY shortly thereafter,” concluded Kohn.
The Players: Suhail “The Whale” Rizvi (HMFIC), Ben “The Bridge” Kohn (CEO), “lil” Suying Liu & “Big” Dong Liu (Young-gun China gang). I encourage you to look these folks up. The real OG here is Suhail Rizvi. He’s from India originally and Chairman of the Board for the new PLBY company. He was an early investor in Twitter, Square, Facebook and others. His firm, Rizvi Traverse, currently invests in Instacart, Pinterest, Snapchat, Playboy, and SpaceX. Maybe you’ve heard of them. “Rizvi, who owns a sprawling three-home compound in Greenwich, Connecticut, and a 1.65-acre estate in Palm Beach, Florida, near Bill Gates and Michael Bloomberg, moved to Iowa Falls when he was five. His father was a professor of psychology at Iowa. Along with his older brother Ashraf, a hedge fund manager, Rizvi graduated from Wharton business school.” “Suhail Rizvi: the 47-year-old 'unsocial' social media baron: When Twitter goes public in the coming weeks (2013), one of the biggest winners will be a 47-year-old financier who guards his secrecy so zealously that he employs a person to take down his Wikipedia entry and scrub his photos from the internet. In IPO, Twitter seeks to be 'anti-FB'” “Prince Alwaleed bin Talal of Saudi Arabia looks like a big Twitter winner. So do the moneyed clients of Jamie Dimon. But as you’ve-got-to-be-joking wealth washed over Twitter on Thursday — a company that didn’t exist eight years ago was worth $31.7 billion after its first day on the stock market — the non-boldface name of the moment is Suhail R. Rizvi. Mr. Rizvi, 47, runs a private investment company that is the largest outside investor in Twitter with a 15.6 percent stake worth $3.8 billion at the end of trading on Thursday (November, 2013). Using a web of connections in the tech industry and in finance, as well as a hearty dose of good timing, he brought many prominent names in at the ground floor, including the Saudi prince and some of JPMorgan’s wealthiest clients.” https://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/08/technology/at-twitter-working-behind-the-scenes-toward-a-billion-dollar-payday.html Y’all like that Arab money? How about a dude that can call up Saudi Princes and convince them to spend? Funniest shit about I read about him: “Rizvi was able to buy only $100 million in Facebook shortly before its IPO, thus limiting his returns, according to people with knowledge of the matter.” Poor guy :(
He should be fine with the 16 million PLBY shares he's going to have though :)
Shuhail also has experience in the entertainment industry. He’s invested in companies like SESAC, ICM, and Summit Entertainment. He’s got Hollywood connections to blast this stuff post-merger. And he’s at least partially responsible for that whole Twilight thing. I’m team Edward btw.
I really like what Suhail has done so far. He’s lurked in the shadows while Kohn is consolidating the company, trimming the fat, making Playboy profitable, and aiming the ship at modern growing markets.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-twitter-ipo-rizvi-insight/insight-little-known-hollywood-investor-poised-to-score-with-twitter-ipo-idUSBRE9920VW20131003
Ben “The Bridge” Kohn is an interesting guy. He’s the connection between Rizvi Traverse and Playboy. He’s both CEO of Playboy and was previously Managing Partner at Rizvi Traverse. Ben seems to be the voice of the Playboy-Rizvi partnership, which makes sense with Suhail’s privacy concerns. Kohn said this:
“Today is a very big day for all of us at Playboy and for all our partners globally. I stepped into the CEO role at Playboy in 2017 because I saw the biggest opportunity of my career. Playboy is a brand and platform that could not be replicated today. It has massive global reach, with more than $3B of global consumer spend and products sold in over 180 countries. Our mission – to create a culture where all people can pursue pleasure – is rooted in our 67-year history and creates a clear focus for our business and role we play in people’s lives, providing them with the products, services and experiences that create a lifestyle of pleasure. We are taking this step into the public markets because the committed capital will enable us to accelerate our product development and go-to-market strategies and to more rapidly build our direct to consumer capabilities,” said Ben Kohn, CEO of Playboy.
“Playboy today is a highly profitable commerce business with a total addressable market projected in the trillions of dollars,” Mr. Kohn continued, “We are actively selling into the Sexual Wellness consumer category, projected to be approximately $400 billion in size by 2024, where our recently launched intimacy products have rolled out to more than 10,000 stores at major US retailers in the United States. Combined with our owned & operated ecommerce Sexual Wellness initiatives, the category will contribute more than 40% of our revenue this year. In our Apparel and Beauty categories, our collaborations with high-end fashion brands including Missguided and PacSun are projected to achieve over $50M in retail sales across the US and UK this year, our leading men’s apparel lines in China expanded to nearly 2500 brick and mortar stores and almost 1000 digital stores, and our new men’s and women’s fragrance line recently launched in Europe. In Gaming, our casino-style digital gaming products with Scientific Games and Microgaming continue to see significant global growth. Our product strategy is informed by years of consumer data as we actively expand from a purely licensing model into owning and operating key high-growth product lines focused on driving profitability and consumer lifetime value. We are thrilled about the future of Playboy. Our foundation has been set to drive further growth and margin, and with the committed capital from this transaction and our more than $180M in NOLs, we will take advantage of the opportunity in front of us, building to our goal of $100M of adjusted EBITDA in 2025.”
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20201001005404/en/Playboy-to-Become-a-Public-Company
Also, according to their Form 4s, “Big” Dong Liu and “lil” Suying Liu just loaded up with shares last week. These guys are brothers and seem like the Chinese market connection. They are only 32 & 35 years old. I don’t even know what that means, but it's provocative.
https://www.secform4.com/insider-trading/1832415.htm
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/mountain-crest-acquisition-corp-ii-002600994.html
Y’all like that China money?
“Mr. Liu has been the Chief Financial Officer of Dongguan Zhishang Photoelectric Technology Co., Ltd., a regional designer, manufacturer and distributor of LED lights serving commercial customers throughout Southern China since November 2016, at which time he led a syndicate of investments into the firm. Mr. Liu has since overseen the financials of Dongguan Zhishang as well as provided strategic guidance to its board of directors, advising on operational efficiency and cash flow performance. From March 2010 to October 2016, Mr. Liu was the Head of Finance at Feidiao Electrical Group Co., Ltd., a leading Chinese manufacturer of electrical outlets headquartered in Shanghai and with businesses in the greater China region as well as Europe.”
Dr. Suying Liu, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Mountain Crest Acquisition Corp., commented, “Playboy is a unique and compelling investment opportunity, with one of the world’s largest and most recognized brands, its proven consumer affinity and spend, and its enormous future growth potential in its four product segments and new and existing geographic regions. I am thrilled to be partnering with Ben and his exceptional team to bring his vision to fruition.”
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20201001005404/en/Playboy-to-Become-a-Public-Company
These guys are good. They have a proven track record of success across multiple industries. Connections and money run deep with all of these guys. I don’t think they’re in the game to lose.
I was going to write a couple more paragraphs about why you should have a look at this but really the best thing you can do is read this SEC filing from a couple days ago. It explains the situation in far better detail. Specifically, look to page 137 and read through their strategy. Also, look at their ownership percentages and compensation plans including the stock options and their prices. The financials look great, revenue is up 90% Q3, and it looks like a bright future.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1803914/000110465921005986/tm2034213-12_defm14a.htm#tSHCF
I’m hesitant to attach this because his position seems short term, but I’m going to with a warning because he does hit on some good points (two are below his link) and he’s got a sizable position in this thing (500k+ on margin, I think). I don’t know this guy but he did look at the same publicly available info and make roughly the same prediction, albeit without the in depth gambling or cannabis mention. You can also search reddit for ‘MCAC’ and very few relevant results come up and none of them even come close to really looking at this thing.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1gOvAd6lebs452hFlWWbxVjQ3VMsjGBkbJeXRwDwIJfM/edit?usp=sharing
“Also, before you people start making claims that Playboy is a “boomer” company, STOP RIGHT THERE. This is not a good argument. Simply put. The only thing that matters is Playboy’s name recognition, not their archaic business model which doesn’t even exist anymore as they have completely repurposed their business.”
“Imagine not buying $MCAC at a 400M valuation lol. Streetwear department is worth 1B alone imo.”
Considering the ridiculous Chinese growth as a lifestyle brand, he’s not wrong.
Current Cultural Significance and Meme Value: A year ago I wouldn’t have included this section but the events from the last several weeks (even going back to tsla) have proven that a company’s ability to meme and/or gain social network popularity can have an effect. Tik-tok, Snapchat, Twitch, Reddit, Youtube, Facebook, Twitter. They all have Playboy stuff on them. Kids in middle and highschool know what Playboy is but will likely never see or touch one of the magazines in person. They’ll have a Playboy hoodie though. Crazy huh? A lot like GME, PLBY would hugely benefit from meme-value stock interest to drive engagement towards their new business model while also building strategic coffers. This interest may not directly and/or significantly move the stock price but can generate significant interest from larger players who will.
Bull Case: The year is 2025. Playboy is now the world leader pleasure brand. They began by offering Playboy licensed gaming products, including gambling products, direct to consumers through existing names. By 2022, demand has skyrocketed and Playboy has designed and released their own gambling platforms. In 2025, they are also a leading cannabis brand in the United States and Canada with proprietary strains and products geared towards sexual wellness. Cannabis was legalized in the US in 2023 when President Biden got glaucoma but had success with cannabis treatment. He personally pushes for cannabis legalization as he steps out of office after his first term. Playboy has also grown their brand in China and India to multi-billion per year markets. The stock goes up from 11ish to 100ish and everyone makes big gains buying somewhere along the way.
Bear Case: The United States does a complete 180 on marijuana and gambling. President Biden overdoses on marijuana in the Lincoln bedroom when his FDs go tits up and he loses a ton of money in his sports book app after the Fighting Blue Hens narrowly lose the National Championship to Bama. Playboy is unable to expand their cannabis and gambling brands but still does well with their worldwide lifestyle brand. They gain and lose some interest in China and India but the markets are too large to ignore them completely. The stock goes up from 11ish to 13ish and everyone makes 15-20% gains.
TL;DR: Successful technology/e-commerce investment firm took over Playboy to turn it into a porn, online gambling/gaming, sports book, cannabis company, worldwide lifestyle brand that promotes sexual wellness, vetern access, women-ownership, minority-ownership, and “pleasure for all”. Does a successful online team reinventing an antiquated physical copy giant sound familiar? No options yet, shares only for now. $11.38 per share at time of writing. My guess? $20 by the end of February. $50 by EOY. This is not financial advice. I am not qualified to give financial advice. I’m just sayin’ I would personally use a Playboy sports book app while smoking a Playboy strain specific joint and it would be cool if they did that. Do your own research. You’d probably want to start here:
WARNING - POTENTIALLY NSFW - SEXY MODELS AHEAD - no actual nudity though
https://s26.q4cdn.com/895475556/files/doc_presentations/Playboy-Craig-Hallum-Conference-Investor-Presentation-11_17_20-compressed.pdf
Or here:
https://www.mcacquisition.com/investor-relations/default.aspx
Jimmy Chill: “Get into any SPAC at $10 or $11 and you are going to make money.”
STL;DR: Buy MCAC. MCAC > PLBY couple weeks. Rocketship. Moon.
Position: 5000 shares. I will buy short, medium, and long-dated calls once available.

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[Neopets] The curious case of Charity Corner 2020 and the sticky snowball

Background:
Neopets is a browser-based virtual pet and game site that took over the world in the late 90s and early 2000s. It's known for its Flash games, player-controlled economy, and nostalgia value. It has been sold to many different companies over the years- Viacom in 2005 for $160 million, and most recently JumpStart in 2014 for an undisclosed sum. Each change of company saw a little more removal from the original designers and developers, and a little less care taken in maintaining the site people are familiar with.
When JumpStart acquired the site in 2014, they had to migrate it to their servers, their *smaller* servers, and the site lost a lot of functionality people enjoyed. They closed Key Quest, a virtual board game that linked IRL plushies to player figurines and gave out sought-after prizes, Habitarium, a strategy/base management idle game, and many random site features. People are still discovering features that didn't "make it over", pages that are broken, and avatars (images that you customize your board posts with) that are no longer obtainable because the code is gone.
This frustrated and angered many loyal players as JumpStart gave no word that the migration would result in removal of so many popular and loved site features.
The features were never restored. In 2018 they hinted that Key Quest would return- but then in 2019 they announced the effort was cancelled.
Neopets celebrated its 20th anniversary last year, and has been working on several large projects to enrich the site- a town builder app, a match-3 app, and especially a mobile-friendly HTML5 version of the site due to the approaching Flash decommission.
In parallel with those long-term goals, players expect certain recurring events on the site, like the Altador Cup, an annual "World Cup" like sports event where users join teams from each region of the Neopets planet, Neopia, and compete in flash games to determine which Land wins, and the Advent Calendar, a month-long event in December where users view a new holiday-themed animation and collect related unique items.
It's unknown how many people are working on JumpStart Neopets versus the Viacom Neopets days, but it's rumored to be a smaller crew. The mobile games are being developed by a separate team in Canada. The NC wearables (real-money clothes for your pet) are made in India. But the actual site features are a mystery.
The reason this is relevant is because the events on the site require months of work ahead of time, and there are questions of if JumpStart Neopets can handle it at its current size.
This becomes apparent at every new event they try to host- because the userbase is sure to be loud and clear at things they do not like. Every event has taken a major cut in quality, especially ones that are less recyclable year-to-year.

Charity Corner:
A huge part of the Neopian experience is the economy, as its entirely player-controlled. Neopoints are the currency, earned by doing many things, playing Flash games, selling items, winning contests, doing "dailies"- small one-click HTML games that award prizes etc. The Flash games have a fixed Neopoint ratio per point earned in the game, and the NPC shops have an inflation rate that changes periodically. The NPC shops that randomly stock items at set price points, and users fight to be first to buy the "rare" and expensive items first. Then, they can resell the item for a high profit.
Dailies are something every user does every day. They give out a lot of items that are "junk"- worth so little because everyone ends up with 1000 of them kicking around in their Safety Deposit Box (SDB)- a place to hold extra items safely, that they have no value in the economy.
2014: Charity Corner is an event that was first started in 2014. It is centered around clearing out all the junk in Neopia by getting users to donate 5 items of certain rarity values in exchange for another single item of that rarity. This caused a lot of turmoil in the economy, because one could donate 5 Mallard Balloons at 1,200 Neopoints each and receive a Baby Techo Bobblehead worth 7,000,000 NP! So, due to supply and demand all the "cheap" items of the highest rarities quickly ballooned (pun unintended) to huge prices as people gambled for rare returns. Overall, it was seen by most as a good event and a cool way to obtain otherwise unobtainable items. Those who had the rare items to begin with saw it in a negative light for depreciating their worth.
The event returned each year with similar rules and prize mechanics.
2018: A big change was made this year- instead of giving 5 items for 1 item back, you would now redeem items for points. These points could be used at the end of the event to cash in on "perks"- less tangible rewards that modified your user experience. TNT did not list the perks prior to the end of the event, so they were a mystery.
One perk example is "Limited Edition" which would give you the ability to change one of your existing pets into a species that is hard to obtain/expensive. "Bank Bribery" would grant you 3% higher interest on the Neopoints in your bank account. Generally, these perks were extremely sought-after as they lasted the entire year and could allow people to more easily obtain their dream goals.

2019: The perks returned- this time allowing users to see the list while still donating.
Certain items in high rarities could be guaranteed from dailies, like an item called a Sticky Snowball that could be purchased from a special, infinitely-stocked healing item shop for 25 NP each. This transaction could be done every 30 minutes.
Because the event structure had not changed in the last few years, Neopians stockpiled these snowballs. People listed in their forum signatures how many they'd purchased- many in the THOUSANDS. Contrary to the event's purpose of getting rid of clutter, people were hoarding junk on purpose, either to give in the event for perks, or to sell during the event when the prices inflated for a tidy profit.

The Drama:
Ok guys, all caught up? Here's the drama now. It's 2020, and TNT has just unveiled the new Charity Corner for 2020 yesterday night. The theme for this year ties in to their new town-building app, and brings the world its set in into the broader Neopets game. And surprise! They took away the perks!
This year is still using a point system, but instead of redeeming for perks, points can be redeemed for prizes unique to the event. This ranges from a petpet (a pet... for your pet), to foods, to a stamp (these limited time event stamps are highly sought after due to the stamp-collecting book, once you put in a stamp you can never take it out again). But the most interesting items were "mystery capsules" of 3 different tiers.
These items are similar to the "give 5 get 1" mechanic, but it's more "give 187.5 get 1" to "give 500 get 1". This is because each single capsule costs 1500, 2500, and 4000 points respectively for each tier. And donating one item of a rarity 98-100 (the most points for the least NP), gives only 8 points.

Now, a Sticky Snowball is rarity 100, so users who spent every 30 min of the last year buying a snowball should be able to get 8 * 2000+ points, right? Well, no. TNT caught on to this get-rich-quick scheme and dropped a big surprise on everyone: Sticky Snowballs specifically were now only 1 point. 1 point!
To top it all off, if you DO buy one of these boxes after donating hundreds of items, do you at least get something cool like you could in 2014? Not really. TNT posted the chances for these boxes in the FAQ for the event, quoted below:

Tier 1 - Ultra Rare (4000 points)
1-84 : 85%
85-89: 10%
90-94: 4%
95-99: 1%
Tier 2 - Rare (2500 points)
1-74 : 85%
75-84: 10%
85-89: 3%
90-94: 2%
Tier 3 - Common (1500 points)
1-74 : 85%
75-84: 10%
85-89: 5%

Notice how each has an 85% chance of giving a junk item (rarity 1-74), and paying 4000 points for the highest tier only gives you a 5% chance of getting anything above rarity 90 (1% for 95-99).
This is heinous compared to the give 5 get 1 method, where if you gave 5 items of rarity 90-100, you were *guaranteed* another item from that rarity level. It means that you could donate 500 1,000 NP items and get a single 500 NP item back. Not just *could*, but it's the most likely outcome!
The community went absolutely rabid yesterday because of these changes. Here are some choice posts on the Site Events board:

"Opened the top tier mystery capsule"

"It's really pathetic that they did that with SSB. If anything, they should have raised the point requirements for prizes, not destroyed the value of SSB. They knew most users who planned on participating in CC this year were stocking up on them, it's really disappointing that TNT would do this. It's really petty."

"I canceled my Premium subscription. I'm not going to financially support a site that blatantly and maliciously disrespects its userbase with stuff like this." (Premium is an upgraded version of the site with no ads, other perks, that costs real money. About 2 dozen others also replied to say they also cancelled)

"Why Hasn't TNT Come Out With A Statement To Address This Tragedy Yet?"

"What did you get from your level 1 capsule?
I got a quality r42 Professor Chesterpot worth 1,400.
You've got to laugh or otherwise you'll cry, right?"

"let's be honest, even before the event was boring, sluggish, and god awful ugly. i mean the design of the machine is just despicable. I cannot imagine anyone getting a degree in art and then coming up with THAT at a professional job!!! i mean it's absurd.

And then they took away the only part of it that made any of it worth it or cool."

"Let's maybe not call people bootlickers and trolls for enjoying a thing." "Quote:
I don't think TNT is in the wrong
ahhh, another TNT can do no wrong type of thinking. Keep thinking this way and they will feel entitled to destroy yet another event / part of the site."

"Imagine hating your userbase this much lol"

"I don't have enough cups for all the tea."
"I'm sorry tnt, but literally just stop trying"

"This is the most pathetic excuse of an event I have ever seen in my entire existence."

"In my opinion TNT is just active trying to k/ill this website tbh
this was the last straw for me and im not coming back"

https://i.imgur.com/lZOHCr2.png

Consequences:
The economy is in shambles- Sticky Snowballs went from cheap to expensive and are now right back at cheap again. People with 5000 are crying. The Site Events board is on fire.
Everyone is frothing at the mouth, and the few people that like or try to defend it are promptly dismembered by the mob. People are cancelling their Premium memberships left and right. Others are downright quitting altogether. Many are boycotting the event and the mobile game its themed around. There are several "petitions" to fix the event.
Keep in mind that everyone in this situation are firmly adults, at least in their 20s. A nontrivial amount are over 50. Actually, that might be relevant to this post:

"this site is full of karens who are not happy with anything"

Will their outrage cause TNT to change the shop? Will they add perks? Will they reinstate the Sticky Snowball? Will they adjust the capsule chances?
Surely there is more to come here and I will edit to update.
Update 1:
Prize shop prices have changed! The 3 capsules have been cut to 10% their original price- so T1 is 400, T2 is 250, and T3 is 150. These prices are MUCH more reasonable- requiring only 50-100 items per box instead of 500. Other prices have also changed- for example, the stamp is 1,500 instead of 5,000.
TNT also posted this message in their staff-specific board:

Hi everyone,
As many of you know, Charity Corner was released this year with a few changes. We wanted to take a moment to talk about these changes, as well as address the concerns we've heard from the users since we launched the event yesterday.
The first thing we'd like to talk about is the removal of perks. During last year's Charity Corner, the site encountered some technical difficulties as a result of their implementation. This year, our dev team has been focusing their main efforts on converting the site in preparation for the end of Flash. This dev team is also responsible for working on all site events, including Charity Corner. In the interest of directing efforts towards the site's conversion and to avoid unforeseen site bugs and user difficulties due to perks, they were removed from the event.
We'd also like to address the issue of the sticky snowball items. This adjustment was made as a necessary balance change; the Charity Corner donation items are intended to be worth the same amount that it takes to obtain them, similar to the value of other snowball items on the site. The team never intended to intentionally obstruct the event due to this balance change, and we'd like to apologize for any miscommunication this change may have caused.
We've heard your comments and concerns regarding Charity Corner this year, and we'd like to make this right. Adjustments will be made to the prize shop; prices will be reduced on all prizes, and you'll be able to claim a free gift of 500 points to use in whichever purchase you wish. The price changes will be rolling out immediately, and those 500 points will be coming your way soon.
We know we've let you down this year, but we truly do value the community and want to thank you for keeping an open dialogue with us. Our team is doing its best to ensure the future of Neopets, and we hope you'll stick with us as we work to modernize the site approaching the end of 2020.
-TNT

Reactions:

Wow. I wasn't going to cancel premium. But that response was horrendous. TNT truly does not care about the users.

"wow -facepalm emoji- so now what about all the folks who already spent their points?"

"lol wonder if I'll get back my 2,500 for the stamp now that its lower. Probably not, oh well. I don't care anymore, this whole thing just sux"

"Refunding after people already sold what they bought with the points? umm... no"

"Changing things without notice, so that it hurts whoever was getting things done early on. Where have we heard that before?"

"I SPENT 13000 POINTS FOR THE LOVE OF GOD HELP MEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE"

"wow i absolutely love how they not only messed it up AGAIN but messed it up PARTICULARLY for the people who had actually TRIED to play the event and used it even tho it was bad amazing fail tnt 10/10 genuine evil"

Most of these came from a topic that got deleted by the moderators- not because of the whining, but because the first post mentioned a different pet site and encouraged people to go there, which is against the rules.
Of course, people are seeing it instead as censorship of their demands.
Seems TNT can't win with this one guys- they apologized and adjusted things as asked and somehow everyone is MORE angry because they already spent points on something they were already so angry about.
The Karen comment from above is a little more relevant as people are now demanding a refund!

Update 2:
New message from TNT:

Hi Everyone,
This is the second part of our charity corner update. If you spent points in the prize shop before we reduced the prices, you will be receiving a refund of the difference. Additionally if you visit the prize shop you can claim 500 free points by clicking on the little gift box in the lower right corner. Lastly please note that the prize shop will stay open during and after the event ends.
-TNT

So, they got their refund!
Reactions:

Total Prize Points Earned: 10,059Prize Points Left: -2,441Prize Points Spent: 5,300
I'm not gifted at math, but something isn't adding up...

I work in IT.
Yeah I know this event is a let down. But everything I'm seeing is a sign that they're understaffed, underfunded and the transition away from flash is a massive undertaking.
Can we cut them some slack?

what about the people that bought the expensive prizes (stamp) sold them already and still got their points back? that's not fair

Update 3:

Hello [username],
You’re receiving this Neomail because you purchased 1 or more Tier 1 Mystery Capsules during this year's Charity Corner event prior to this Sept 18th neomail. Recently, our team uncovered an internal issue that was causing the rarity drop rates of Tier 1 and Tier 3 Mystery Capsules to be switched. The issue has since been fixed; Tier 1 capsules will now properly grant higher rarity items at a higher rate, and Tier 3’s will grant the lowest.
We’d like to sincerely apologize to you for this oversight. Due to those previous balance issues, you have been re-granted the same amount of Tier 1 capsules that you previously purchased. You can now find those capsules, working with the correct drop rates, in your Inventory. Any existing Tier 1 capsules you had unopened will now have the corrected rates.
The Neopets Team

Uh-huh, an internal issue, eh? That's confusing, since the drop rates for Tier 3 when I bought my Tier 1 capsule didn't even include the highest rarities.
The FAQ now has some slightly different rates:

Tier 1 - Ultra Rare
1-84 : 85%
85-89: 10%
90-94: 4%
95-99: 1%
Tier 2 - Rare
1-74 : 85%
75-84: 10%
85-89: 3%
90-94: 2%
Tier 3 - Common
1-74 : 85%
75-84: 10%
85-89: 5%

With R90-04 and R95-99 spit with slightly higher chances on the T1.
I opened the replacement capsule I got and received a Banana Hot Dog- R70 and worth 700 NP.

A staff member from the dev team also released a statement in this week's Neopian Times (weekly newspaper released on Friday nights):

Hi all. Gutterfoot here. It's been a tough week for everyone and we know this years' Charity Corner isn't what any of us expected. There were a lot of issues that we should have been more on top of as well as things like server crashes completely outside of our control.
We've heard everyone's concerns on the Neoboards about the need for more open communication. I personally try to be on the Mobile Beta board as much as time permits me (as I am also a member of the dev team, not a full-time community manager), but it just isn't realistic for all of us. The problem is that the TNT you all see on the boards popping in ARE the dev team as well. Having us be constantly available for communication just isn't viable, especially not while that same team is responsible for both the conversion effort and keeping up with content/events.
Now, I know NONE of this is your problem. This is entirely a problem that TNT needs to handle and we promise that we're going to make an effort to communicate more openly. We want and value your feedback. I appreciate every user who participates on the Mobile Beta board, whether they have dedicated entire pet pages of feedback or just pop-in to report a bug they've noticed. It's all so incredibly helpful to our team.
Circling back to Charity Corner, refunds should be processed and the glitch that prevented some users from claiming their free 500 points should be solved. If anyone feels that their point totals aren't accurate, please send a support ticket and we will try to respond as quickly as possible before the event ends on the 28th of September. We have also fixed the issue where tier 1 and tier 3 mystery capsule drop rates were switched. Those who purchased tier 1 capsules have been reimbursed with new ones. And the capsules within your inventory/prize shop are now reflecting correct drop rates. There won't be any penalties at all since this was entirely our mistake, so everyone is safe. We know we can do better than this and we hope to regain your trust one step at a time.

Note: Today is International Talk like a Pirate Day, and Neopets has a forum filter that makes "see"-spy, you- ye, about- 'bout, etc. Any odd wording in these messages is just a result of that filter.
Reactions:

eh, response was bad and didn't address anyone's questions

Dunno why people are upset at someone from the dev team doing their best.

Gutterfoot then came to the thread to discuss with users:

i agree that our response doesn't answer a whole lot of questions ye may have had across the boards, but we're planning on making a statement in the next editorial 'bout specific things like the status of the conversion effert and ways to hear more feedback within the community 'bout what the users want.
if anyone wants to send me a neomail, please do so and i will be able to respond better there than monitoring the ferums throughout the work day. i'm only here now because the day is over, haha. but i truly do care 'bout this community and so does the rest of the dev team. thank ye to everyone.

Reactions to Gutterfoot responding:

i'm literally gonna eat me shorts

I don't know if the dev team has a say in decision making or ye just execute orders, but plz let yer other "professional colleagues" know that their decision making is highly flawed and this site probably won't be able to survive 2-3 more bad events.
Our opinion of TNT is so low, that even by association, we can't fully trust yer words. You are part of TNT.

Google Play Store to Allow Gambling Apps in Australia, Canada, & 13 More Countries

[MF] Slavey Shores

The title isn't final I really just don't know what to title the thing yet without spoiling the ending. Also I should say that every location can be found in this book on Google Earth so if you are feeling adventurous go ahead. Also if there are any grammatical errors please feel free to tell me, I only properly parsed through it once. Anyways the story is below.
“Low ground! Low ground!” the plane beamed constantly into my headphones. I had accrued over 1500 hours of flight time since I left the Air Force, yet no situation was as strange, and frankly terrifying as now. With the nearest airfield being 50 miles away, and losing approximately 1000 feet per minute I start recording my last message.
“There isn’t a point of me writing anything, it will almost certainly be incinerated when this plane explodes. Especially when the Black Box is likely recording everything I say right now. It’s been a journey guys, didn’t want it to end this way but God works in strange ways sometimes. Hailey I am confident you will raise our daughters to be the best they can. I just ask if you hear me now to do one thing. Tell them I love them. You never truly know when is your last day, and I think it’s important to remind those we leave behind our love for them. Being a very commercial pilot I have always felt like an absent father. I always knew that I had my priorities right, I would hate to send any of my daughter’s to bed hungry, but another part of me feels like I’ve missed out on a lifetime of memories. Well this concludes my rather sad and rather basic last message. At least on the bright side I’m flying solo so instead of 200 dead people only one has to be dealt with. Anyways Cal Harphorne out”
I cut my microphone. That speech I made with both engines failing, had cost me another 1000 feet in elevation. The ground was getting very close, and the thought of my consciousness simply disappearing on contact was eerily chilling to me. While not hysterical about my likely demise, I certainly wasn’t at peace with myself. That’s why when I saw a lake 2 miles to the North I decided to shoot my shot. I figured it’s better to try to attempt a water landing and more than likely die, then to crash into a forest and almost certainly die.
My rudders were practically the only means of maneuvering I still had. With both engines cut I had to glide this plane to not only a proper angle of descent, but also at a speed where my neck wouldn’t break on contact. When I approached the south end of the lake I was no more than 200 feet of the ground. Not wanting to die I desperately tried to recall everything my sergeant had told me when we briefly discussed emergency water landings in the Air Force. I being a wide-eyed recruit meant not every bit of information had stuck to my head, and I had yet to revere the words of my commander’s like I do now.
This was a life and death scenario however, and me messing up in the slightest meant falling off the tightrope that was my life. The water was now close enough where I could see fishes hopping out of the water. It was now or never. I rounded out the plane and flared it up so I had a good angle with the water. The second the plane hit the water it was a strange sort of harmony. All the annoying bells and whistles that I had been listening to over the past 30 minutes ceased, and I could only hear the thunderous roar of the plane hitting the water.
But just as fast as the cockpit computers failed, water started to breach in. I didn’t plan to stay for much longer and cracked the window and leapt out into the water. Before I did this however I made sure to grab my survival kit in the back, as without it I had a near 0 percent chance of being found. It was late August so I had no fear of freezing immediately, but being barely south of the 60th parallel hypothermia was certainly a very big and valid fear.
My survival skills while not amazing were certainly refined, but once I got to the shore this fact only made me more depressed. Berries upon berries lined the forests, almost all of them poisonous in some aspect. One variety I saw was known to contain copious amounts of neurotoxins. No roads, barely any food, not even a cave to sleep in, at first I felt I had simply traded a quick and painless death for a long and painful one.
A bright spot of this nightmare was that I had never seen the sky so clearly before. A clear sky of thousands of stars, meant with a sextant I was able to figure out my approximate location on the first night. I knew where I was yes, but the truth is at the same time I didn’t. The Earth is a big place, and it is very possible that my calculations were off enough to make any venture fruitless. I also possessed an atlas of North America that contained the coordinates of most cities with more than 5000 residents, along with the coordinates of more remote but significant locations.
This also meant that I had to alter my sleep schedule so I could be awake at the darkest times of the night. Being so far north and it being August meant that the days were very long. In fact, it never actually became night in the weeks I spent there. The sun wouldn’t dip more than 18 degrees below the horizon meaning that I was being constantly basked in different stages of twilight. But it’s not like any normal person would really be able to tell a difference between night-time and astronomical twilight.
After weeks of researching I was able to determine approximately what the nearest town to me was. The town of Slavey Shores was where I would head to once I prepared for the journey. Out of all the towns in 100 mile radius, it seemed to be the only one within 20 miles of me. Located on three islands in the middle of the Slave River, the town was just 17 miles to the west of me. It was also less than 25 miles southeast from the bustling city of Fort Smith just across the provincial border in the Northwest Territories.
For the first time in a while, I was actually confident in my survival chances. I had a chance to beat the odds, and come away in one piece. I spent my first week sleeping in the tent that was in my survival kit. The tent was very small but sufficient enough for permanent inhabitance. I pitched it on a limestone cliff overlooking the cliff. The cliff required you to pull up onto it from the forest floor, so I chose this spot specifically to better defend my food and belongings from the animals.
I spent the first day getting myself warm and dry, and the night finding out where I was. My food supplies would be exhausted quickly. Inside my survival kit was enough MRE’s to last about 5 days, and enough water bottles to last half of that time. Thankfully I had prepared for this eventual reality. In the kit was also a repeater along with several boxes of cartridges. Most of the flora of the region was either inedible or poisonous, but there was still an outstanding amount of fauna. Creatures of all roams of life roamed the forest in abundance including caribou.
I managed to kill one while down at the lake for water one day, It didn’t yet notice me from 100 feet away, so I took full advantage of the opportunity. When the creature lowered it’s head again to sip from the lake, I took a shot aiming for the heart. The bullet landed, and although it briefly tried to run away it fell and quickly died. With my butcher knife I was able to collect the pelt, antlers, and all the best cuts of meat. The rest of the carcass I simply pushed in to the lake and left for the eons.
After eating to the point of food-coma I cooked some into jerky for the future, and kept the rest of the meat on the rock outside. The chilly nights kept the meat fresh, so I was able to treat myself to a good breakfast the next morning. With an eagle egg I also stole the day before I made myself a little survivalist omelet. It tasted very queer, but as long as I could power the day on I simply didn’t care.
Everyday in which it was clear, I would travel to a hill on the east side of the lake and light a flare. It was the highest point my eyes could perceive, and probably the best chance for me to be spot by any aircraft. Despite air-travel being the lifeblood of the modern Arctic, my luck was ill. I didn’t spot too many planes in the remote piece of country I was in, and the ones I did were passenger planes all at cruising altitude. I hoped I could get a swift rescue by someone, a stray pilot, the government, anybody, but it seemed after a while I was going to have to rescue myself.
About on the 8th day while coming back from lighting a flare I saw a sight that crushed my heart. Like an idiot I forgot to properly ash the fire and sole ember caught onto the tent. When I came back it was already starting to catch, but thankfully I quickly dumped the contents of my canteen on it, extinguishing it. Although the tent was still functional, both the rain-fly and a good part of the top of the tent were burnt. If I was camping with my family it wouldn’t be a problem as if the weather was good I could simply remain and if it wasn’t leave or buy a new tent. I didn’t have any weather apps, car, or another abode so sadly the burnt tent was my only option.
The sky was very clear on this day, I couldn’t spot a single could in the sky.
But I knew eventually it would rain and in the process make me catch pneumonia or die of hypothermia. Plan B which was a pilgrimage to Slavey Shores seemed more than necessary at this point. To prepare I picked all the Saskatoon berries I could find and killed a doe which I would cook into jerky before. I also decided that instead of going a straight crow-fly route to the town, I would walk completely westward until I reached the shore of the river. That way I could have a fresh source of water as I walked northbound towards the city.
The night was the first I spent actually sleeping. I spent the last couple of days checking my math and absolutely making sure I knew where I was. I carved the incredibly long number that was my coordinates into the rock the night before. I had a very good memory so I wasn’t sure exactly why I did this, a part of me felt that I should leave some record of my existence here. But I prayed to God each night that no other human would have to be here, at least against their will. “59.6588876 Degrees North; 111.0435612 Degrees West. To Slavey Shores I head.” read the inscription, the last thing I would do before leaving the next morning.
With my skin kissed in what felt like never-ending twilight, I fell asleep and woke up sometime a little after sunrise the next day. I planned to leave the tent as I was confident that I could make the journey within a day. That was if I continued at a brisk and uninterrupted pace, which wasn’t guaranteed in a wild land like this. Brambles, animals, and even a limestone ridges posed a great threat. These things could not only make the trip a pain, but also kill and incapacitate me. That is why at first I wasn’t a huge fan of making the walk to this town. If I could get rescued and not have to traverse this untamed wilderness, I thought that would be the best course of action.
But after each fruitless flare lighting, and with the damage my tent incurred it was a necessity at this point. If I couldn’t make it to Slavey Shores I would never see my family again. All the prompts in my life story would remain unanswered, and with very little clues of what truly happened to me. I remember the black box, but I have already gone through this much trouble living to simply give up now. Everything in my survival kit that I deemed necessary; a small pan for boiling water, my knife to cut through brambles, and a lot more I kept. Other useless things like an expensive beer I chucked into the lake as it would weigh me down. That was after I drank the whole thing of course.
My idea before this whole fiasco was that once I got rescued I could enjoy a nice beer and celebrate, but this didn’t seem plausible in a scenario when I had to rescue myself.
With my pack as light as I could reasonably get it I took my first steps westbound. The town on the river was almost directly due west of me, the only deviation was maybe northwards 2 miles. I would go straight west however as if I didn’t I wouldn’t meet the river for another 3 miles as it veers westward. 3 miles may not seem like a lot but I’m sure it will seem like 10 with my empty canteen in hand.
So I walked dutifully onwards towards the town, the first mile or so was breezy. I hadn’t seen anything unusual or unexpected. The expected hazards, bears, brambles, ditches, and so much more was there, but nothing that couldn’t be avoided. Overall I was making good progress and I was able to go some 8 miles in just 5 hours. While it wasn’t the brisk 3 mph I hoped for, it was nothing the long day couldn’t console. Despite partaking in what was the ultimate workout of my life, my mood was very high.
I sung folk tunes all the way to town, dreaming of when I can hug my beloved daughters again. When my energy was low and I felt weak my desire to live kept me going, that and a handful of jerky and berries. Almost 6 ½ miles in I uncovered quite the surprise. While drinking from my canteen in a forest in which you could hear a pin drop my ear catches an interesting noise. What sounded like the roaring of water, chipping each rock in it’s path till it reached it’s mouth. Each step westward the noise became louder until I came upon a nice stream, cascading slowly down a valley to it’s mouth.
I say that as the valley it’s in has clear enough vantage to see the lake it dumps into. Curiously I decided to veer a little bit northward and check it out. It appeared to be twice the size as the plane I did my emergency landing on, but certainly nothing more than a lake. I decide to make a quick stop. I harvest some pine needles, stones, and some wood branches to make a fire at the lake’s edge. I am incredulously thirsty at this point, and my canteen is only ¼ of the way full. I swig what I have left of the water and fill it with lake water. I prefer not furiously pooping out of my butt for weeks so I boil it in my pan and continue on with my venture. I’m a little under half way there and at this point it is only a little after noon, maybe 12:30 or so. With my water filled I decide to abandon my straight-shot walk to the river and decided to walk in the direction of the town.
While not very likely I prefer to not have to traverse a country that when it’s dark may as well be space. A place where you can see the abundant stars and moon, but not your own fingers. Especially with how many chasms and ridges that dotted the terrain. Not to forget the wild cougars and wolves, who’s horridity has been forgotten mostly in my home state due to extirpation. I had to walk south-east ward slightly as I had walked myself onto a peninsula, but after I quickly was back on course. However this time I made sure to move westward but to go slightly north at the same time, roughly north-west-west.
Everything was very smooth until I reached the 14th mile of the journey. Before this point I had to mainly only travel through forest and intermittent meadows, maybe cross a creek or two. This final 3 miles proved a unique experience, one that I simply wasn’t expected. I had expected some degree of ridges and hills, but the final 3 miles approaching the town was overkill. Jagged mountains, and steep banks categorized this region best. It seemed as where-ever there wasn’t a pine tree there was a cliff, mountain, or ridge that had to be crossed.
This caused me to move at an incredibly laggard pace, I had spent as much time in the first 2 miles of this so-called “mountain zone” than the first 6 ½ miles. I wouldn’t stop, I couldn’t, and with determination and of course venison jerky, I reached a crest in which I could see the river. The river was there along with the islands, but one thing was missing, and that was the town. He checked if he had the right islands or perhaps coordinates, and after triple-checking he confirmed he was right on the money. What was supposed to be a self-sufficient town on the river was simply a couple wooded islands.
Yes the islands were big enough to support a town but he could simply see no buildings in sight. At this time also, twilight is beginning to fade and it is getting very dark. Even worse the clouds look very similar to the sky. Thunder echoes into my ears, like Zeus was condemning me to death. I tried to formulate why the town didn’t exist. Was it simply abandoned? I didn’t think so as I would at least see some ruins. Is it just hidden very well? Probably not as the bridges that spans the islands would likely still be visible.
It is also this time the first rain drop hits my neck, it only gets more and more rapid until it begins pouring. Fort Smith which I know for a fact is real seemed so far away, which it was. I couldn’t make the journey there. I kind of gambled my entire life on a town that didn’t even exist. No tent, no berries, and verily no resolve to continue on. It would also be dark soon for at least a couple of hours or so. On a cliff near the river’s edge I accept my fate. I hoped someone found find the Black Box, and hopefully don’t waste too much time and money trying to find me. “To Slavey Shores I go” I say cynically before jumping into the river to my death.
Epilogue
For the first couple of years it took a long time before the truth came out, or at least part of it. Cal’s former wife was hounding the governments of both the United States and Canada for information about her husbands’ disappearance. All she knew is he left the airfield in his hometown of Tulsa to head to his cousin’s ranch in the Alaskan bush. A place that he obviously never arrived.
It was actually a Native American boy and not a FBI agent or the likes who made the first critical discovery in the case. In a unprecedently dry year, the lake in which Cal made his emergency landing dropped to a level that the back wing of the plane was above the water. While he originally came for water and a place to fish, he rushed back to his village which unbeknownst to Cal was a mere 3 miles north of his tent. He told all the other villagers about it, and while there was no one there he could directly report it to like a police agency, he contacted the police in Fort Smith who arranged to meet with him in Fitzgerald the following day.
His chief who had to go there to buy more ammunition and various other essentials agreed to take him there. This village was very remote and did not have direct road access so they were forced to go horseback. Fitzgerald was only 2 miles north up the river from what was supposed to be the northern tip of Slavey Shores, had Cal kept his hopes up and continued northwards he likely would’ve found it. It simple was too small of a town to be put on the map that he contained.
They crossed the river in the shallowest parts of the rapids and were able to get to Fitzgerald fairly easily. Once there the police informed them they would be passing the case to the RCMP but still wanted some preliminary information. They asked lots of questions, all of which he answered and was told his case would be thoroughly investigated. The next day two police helicopters arrive along with a search team. They find the exact plane he’s talking about, but much more needs to be done.
A scuba team is eventually deployed to the lake and explore the cabin of the plane. They are surprised to not find human remains, but through process of elimination are able to determine that it is the missing plane of Cal Harphorne. More and more dives are done, primarily focused towards the south end of the lake where the plane was, but after weeks of looking no body was found. They had only explored half the lake but decided to not explore the northern end, and western arm as he is much less likely to be there, along with both bodies being significantly deeper.
To Hailey Harphorne, news of the discovery is bitter-sweet. When police play the final black-box recording she starts uncontrollably crying. Not only out of grief but also a feeling of solace. She was satisfied that she no longer was left without answers, and she felt she could finally let go of any longing thoughts that he may still be out there. Many questions still remained though. Why wasn’t a body found? Did he survive for sometime afterwards? By the time they reached the lake they simply weren’t sure. They found things like a burnt tent on one of the shores, and a beer bottle at the bottom of the lake, but they could’ve been left by anyone. Still to this day no one truly knows except you, I, and Cal, but he is festering at the bottom of a muddy river.
They don’t know about the paper town he encountered, nor the hardships he went through to get there. To those who knew him he was a father, friend, uncle, but one thing he wouldn’t be known as was survivor. Had he reached any other town that wasn’t put there as a copyright trap, he would’ve survived, likely grown old, and enjoyed his golden years, but he didn’t. He would be the one telling this story. But everyone knows that dead men don’t tell any tales. His endurance and will to live in a twist of fate pushed him in the one town on the map that wasn’t real.

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[MF] Slavey Shores

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