Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Rams odds, picks and best bets

prop bets ravens vs rams

prop bets ravens vs rams - win

Hey - One person believes we could win it all next year. That's something, right?

[ Removed by reddit in response to a copyright notice. ]
submitted by cornbread36 to G101SafeHaven [link] [comments]

Notes from Ep 1011 - Christmas Eve Extravaganza! + Week 16 Matchups, Fantasy Grinches

Merry Christmas, FootClan! Hope it's a fun and safe one :D Welcome to the Santalodon episode notes

Post-show updates:



Taking It Up To 100




News & Notes

-if out, Chad Hansen is a good start



Week 16 Matchups - Part 1

Vikings (+6.5) at Saints, 50.5 O/U
-Cousins, Cook, Thielen, Jefferson
-Brees, Kamara, Cook
-Sanders


Buccaneers (-9.5) at Lions, 53.5 O/U
-Brady, Fournette, Evans, Brown, Godwin, Gronk
-Stafford, Jones, Swift, Hockenson


49ers (+5) at Cardinals, 49 O/U
-Aiyuk, Kittle, Wilson
-Murray, Drake, Nuk


Dolphins (-3) at Raiders, 48 O/U
-Gaskin
-Jacobs, Waller
-Tua, Parker
-Carr, Agholor
Josh Jacobs is Mike's Grinch of the Week 
Would You Like to Play a Game - Josh Jacobs or James Conner
  1. More rushing attempts? - Jacobs
  2. More 15 yd runs? - Conner
  3. More top 20 performances - Tied
  4. More YPC - Conner


Falcons (+10.5) at Chiefs, 51 O/U
-Ryan, Ridley
-Mahomes, Hill, Kelce, Bell
-Smith
-Gage
-Hurst
-Watkins, Robinson

Browns (-9.5) at Jets, 47.5 O/U
-Mayfield, Chubb, Hunt, Landry, Hooper
-
-Higgins
-Gore



Starts of the Week

QB


RB


WR


TE



Boom Boom Kicker

"Oh this is the week. You're at war like it's the Gaza Strip, you know you need my man Rodrigo Blankenship!"



Week 16 Matchups - Part 2

Colts (-2) at Steelers, 44 O/U
-Taylor
-Johnson
-Hilton
-Claypool, JuJu
-Rivers
-Big Ben, Conner


Bears (-7.5) at Jaguars, 47 O/U
-Montgomery, Robinson
-Robinson


Giants (+10.5) at Ravens, 43.5 O/U
-Lamar, Andrews, Dobbins
-Edwards, Brown
-Gallman, Jones/McCoy, Engram
Water Bet: Lamar Jackson is a top 5 QB (Mike) vs being outside the top 8 (Jason) 


Bengals (+7.5) at Texans, 46 O/U
-Gio, Higgins
-Watson, Johnson, Cooks
-Hansen, Koutee


Broncos (+3) at Chargers, 49 O/U
-MG3, Patrick, Fant
-Herbert, Ekeler, Allen (monitor), Williams
-Johnson, Guyton
-Lock


Panthers (+1.5) at Washington, 42.5 O/U
-Moore
-McLaurin, McKissic, Thomas
-Anderson, Samuel
-Bridgewater, Davis
-Gibson
Mike Davis is Andy's Grinch of the Week 


Eagles (-2) at Cowboys, 49.5 O/U
-Hurts, Sanders, Goedert
-Zeke/Pollard, Cooper
-Reagor
-Lamb


Rams (+1) at Seahawks, 47.5 O/U
-Henderson, Woods, Kupp, Higbee
-Metcalf, Carson
-
-Lockett
-Goff
-Wilson
Russell Wilson is Jason's Grinch of the Week 
Would You Like to Play a Game - Russell Wilson or Andy Dalton
  1. Over the last 6 weeks, who has more fantasy pts per game? Dalton
  2. More passing yards per game? Tie
  3. More total passing TDs? Dalton
  4. Better QB rating on deep passes? Dalton


Titans (+3.5) at Packers, 56 O/U
-Rodgers, Jones, Adams, Tonyan
-Tannehill, Henry, Brown, Davis


Bills (-7) at Patriots, 46 O/U
-Allen, Diggs, Beasley
-Michel (if Harris out)
-the Patriots



Prop It Like It's Hot

submitted by BBM07 to FantasyFootballers [link] [comments]

Notes from Ep 997 - Week 13 Matchups + Tilt Talk, Pigeon Theft!

Post show updates:


News & Notes

-demotion for Jeff Wilson Jr.



Fantasy Forecast

Colts (-3) at Texans, 51 O/U
-Rivers, Pittman, Hilton, Taylor
-Cooks, Johnson, Akins
-Watson
-Hines
-Coutee

Rams (-2.5) at Cardinals, 48 O/U
-Kupp, Woods
-Murray
-Hopkins, Drake
-Akers/Brown/Henderson

Giants (+10) at Seahawks, 47.5 O/U
-Engram, Gallman
-D/ST, Wilson, Metcalf, Carson
-Lockett
-Shepard, Slayton

Eagles (+8.5) at Packers, 48.5 O/U
-Sanders
-Rodgers, Jones, Adams, Tonyan
-Williams
-Wentz, Ertz, Fulgham, Reagor
Water Bet: Jordan Akins (Andy) vs Dallas Goedert (Jason & Mike) in Week 13 

Patriots (+1) at Chargers, 47.5 O/U
-Harris, White
-Herbert, Ekeler, Allen, Williams, Henry
-Newton, Meyers

Broncos (+13.5) at Chiefs, 43.5 O/U
-Fant, MG3
-Mahomes, Hill, Kelce
-CEH/Bell
-Jeudy
-Hardman, Robinson

Washington (+8.5) at Steelers, 42 O/U
-Ben, Johnson, Claypool, Juju, Ebron
-Gibson
-Snell

Bills (+1) at 49ers, 47 O/U
-Allen, Diggs, Beasley
-Mostert, Deebo
-Moss/Singletary
-Aiyuk, Reed

Cowboys (+7.5) at Ravens, 45 O/U
-Cooper
-Lamar, Dobbins
-Zeke
-Brown
-Dalton, Lamb, Gallup, Schultz



Prop It Like It's Hot

submitted by BBM07 to FantasyFootballers [link] [comments]

Notes from Ep 1015 - New Year's Eve MEGAshow + Week 17 Matchups, Motivation Levels

Happy New Year! Here it is folks, the last notes for the 2020 fantasy season! I hope y'all had a great season! Tune back in next season :D

Post-show updates:



Taking It Up To 100

Andy and Mike are tied and battling for the Taking It To 100 Trophy 



News & Notes

-Rodney Smith is a worthwhile play
-Darwin Thompson is a play this week



Week 17 Matchups - Part 1

Levels of Team Motivation in Week 17
  1. Jay Cutler - smoking on the sideline
  2. Adam Gase - about to be flushed
  3. Mike Glennon - just happy to be here!!
  4. Tony Robbins - motivated to achieve
  5. Matt Foley - about to have a hemorrhoids from zeal to win


Dolphins (-3) at Bills, 42.5 O/U
Dolphins - 5 Bills - 2 
-Gaskin, Gesicki
-Allen/Diggs


Ravens (-13) at Bengals, 43.5 O/U
Ravens - 5 Bengals - 3 
-Jackson, Dobbins, Brown, Andrews
-Higgins/Boyd, Gio


Steelers (+9.5) at Browns, 42.5 O/U
Steelers - 1 Browns - 5 
-Ebron
-Chubb, Landry, Hooper
-Johnson
-Hunt, Higgins
-All other Steelers


Vikings (-6.5) at Lions, 53.4 O/U
Vikings - 4 Lions - 2 
-Cousins, Jefferson, Thielen, Big Irv
-Swift, Hockenson
-Jones
-Stafford


Jets (-3) at Patriots, 40 O/U
Jets - 2 Patriots - 4 
-Johnson, Crowder
-All Patriots


Cowboys (-1.5) at Giants, 44. O/U
Cowboys - 5 Giants - 5 
-Cooper, Gallup, Zeke, Dalton, Schultz
-Shepard, Engram, Jones
-Lamb
-Gallman



Starts of the Week

QB


RB


WR


TE



Boom Boom Kicker of the Week

"Oh get your lips ready for a championship for a really nice pucker cuz we're going with the best, the Ravens' Justin Tucker"



Week 17 Matchups - Part 2

Falcons (+6.5) at Buccaneers, 50 O/U
Falcons - 3 Bucs - 4 
-Ryan, Ridley, Hurst
-Brady, Evans, Godwin, Gronk
-Gurley/Hill


Packers (-4) at Bears, 50.5 O/U
Packers - 5 Bears - 5 
-Rodgers, Jones, Adams, Tonyan
-Montgomery, Robinson
-Dillon


Raiders (-3) at Broncos, 51 O/U
Raiders - 1 Broncos - 1 
-Jacobs, Agholor, Waller
-MG3
-Jeudy, Patrick


Jaguars (+13.5) at Colts, 49.5 O/U
Jaguars - 3 Colts - 5 
-Ogunbowale
-Rivers, Taylor, Hines, Hilton
-Pascal, Pittman


Chargers (-3.5) at Chiefs, 44 O/U
Chargers - 2 Chiefs - 1 
-Herbert, Ekeler, Williams, Henry
-All Chiefs

Cardinals (-3) at Rams, 40.5 O/U
Cardinals - 5 Rams - 5 
-Murray, Drake, Nuk
-Goff, Brown, Woods


Seahawks (-6.5) at 49ers, 46 O/U
Seahawks - 5 49ers - 3 
-Metcalf
-Kittle, Wilson
-Lockett
-Wilson
-All other 49ers


Saints (-6.5) at Panthers, 47.5 O/U
Saints - 4 Panthers - 1 
-Brees, Cook, Thomas, Sanders


Titans (-7.5) at Texans, 56 O/U
Titans - 5 Texans - 3 
Andy's Almost Upset of the Week
-Tannehill, Henry, Brown, Davis, Smith
-Watson, DJ, Cooks
-Hansen

Washington (-3.5) at Eagles, 43.5 O/U
Washington - 5 Eagles - 3 Water Bet: Who wins the game? Eagles (Jason), Football Team (Andy) 
-Gibson, McLaurin, Thomas
-Hurts, Ertz
-McKissic



Prop It Like It's Hot

submitted by BBM07 to FantasyFootballers [link] [comments]

CreateYoureReality NFL Divisional Round Analysis and Picks

Super Wildcard Recap: Oooof, that was a tough Saturday. Seattle losing crushed all of my futures and about 85% of my spirit. This is shaping up to be my first losing season, but there are still a few weekends left. Lets see what we can find this week! :D
Singles (2-6 -3.5u)
Parlays (0-2 -17.43u)
Teasers (0-1 -1.3u)
BBDLS (0-1 -4.57u)

Saturday Games

LA Rams at Green Bay Packers: Well, well, well. I had SEA and the Rams being my favorites to come out of the NFC and I leaned Seattle after the Rams meltdown vs the Jets. Looks like I leaned the wrong way 😅.
My algo spits out this game similar to the Buf/Ind game from last week. Packers have the leagues best offense but LA has the leagues best defense. My algo favors GB to win, but given the points and any odds greater than +200, it leans LA. So we will be on the LA side and the points, with a little sprinkles of them moneyline throughout.
I would expect LA to come out with the same game plan they had vs. SEA. Play EXCEPTIONAL defense and run the ball down the opposition throats, while using that run to set up play action boots for Goff to hit like 5 throws all game. If those throws come on key third downs and in the red zone...it could be an LA day. However, I do not trust Goff as much as that LA defense so even more value seems to be in the early totals.

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills: As you saw last week, Baltimore was my dark horse for the AFC with the best odds vs chance of coming out IMO. So it should be no surprise we are on them here. Buffalo is a great offense that appears to have developed themselves into AFC contenders for the next few years. However, one of their biggest weaknesses as a team is their run defense. That just so happens to be Baltimore's biggest strength. Combine that with Baltimore's defense being more sound than last years playoff run. They are taking on a Josh Allen that has progressed leaps and bounds each year since he has arrived, but still seems like the "Farve" type of guy, meaning he can look great when hes on his game, but when he gets mentally off his game can do some dummmb mistakes. (As we saw last week vs IND, the 4th quarter fumble that gave IND the chance to win)


Sunday Games

Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs: This is one of the harder ones for me to lean this weekend. My algo says that the Chiefs should only be -6/7 favorites. Which means I almost HAVE to lean Browns and DOUBLE DIGIT spread 😅 But my algo is spitting this one out like the TB/WAS game last weekend. KC is a huge favorite to win, but given their recent history ATS and CLE momentum, It's a lean on CLE.

Tampa Bay Bucs at New Orleans Saints: I take back my last statement, this is the hardest game for me. Probably because my algo is favoring NO heavy, but in my gut I am a Brady fan. Either way, I am pushing down all of my fandom and riding with the Saints. The last 21 times a team has swept an opponent in the regular season and met them in the playoffs they are 14-7 U. Speaking of divisional rematch for a third time, my algo is looking at the under here. It's very hard to hold under tickets, especially in the playoffs, but that is our lean!

Singles (103-134-1, -29.59u)
Parlays (6-34, +9.62u)
Teasers (4-6, +29.44u)
BBDLS (0-74, -63.81u)

Futures (0-3 -273.33)

Thanks for reading and good luck to all! 😀
submitted by CreateYoureReality to CreateYoureReality [link] [comments]

Taeler Hendrix vs. Priscilla Kelly Erotic Fiction

Sequel to this but Literotica won't let me post it. This is told from Taeler's perspective.
For reference, this is Taeler, and this is Priscilla.
The crowd were cheering loudly. I was prompting them too but they likely would have done it anyway given that there was now an incredibly beautiful woman lying face down on the mat, wearing nothing but her bra and panties. It hadn’t been that sort of match, but I made it one. After what I had been through with Beth, I needed to blow off a little steam.
Kiera Hogan was lying face down. I didn’t know if she was unconscious yet, but I was sure that she wished that she was. I was waving her top in the air, like it was a humiliating trophy from the shame that I had just foisted upon her. I flung it to some lucky fan, who waved it just that I had. That made me snicker a bit as I turned back to my opponent.
She was a beautiful woman, no one could deny that. The first thing that most people noticed about her even when she wasn’t lying face down was that massive ass of hers. That had been a juicy target of a good deal of spankings, which she enjoyed far less than the crowd did. She was short, but there was a good deal of power in that body.
Or at least, there had been, before I powerbombed, threw, and battered her from the onset of this match. I had thought that I was going to end the day with a fat WWE contract, but the only thing that I got from my last little misadventure in the ring was Beth Phoenix’s strap-on up my ass much to my shame. It wasn’t Kiera’s fault that it was hard for me to sit down for a few days after having tussled with one of the strongest women WWE had ever had, but she was the first woman they put in the ring against me. So she was going to taste just how mean I could be.
When I rolled her over, her eyes were closed. I wondered if she was really unconscious, or just pretending to be so that she could make this particular nightmare go away. Kiera was an attractive woman, and had a lovely roundness to her face that would make her stand out anywhere in the world. It must have been awful for her when I stinkfaced her. Or when I grabbed her by her boobs only to suplex her a second later. Or when I got her in a fireman’s carry and let a member of the crowd grab her big round ass.
But it was all going to be over soon. I placed my boot on her face and the ref fell down to the ground. She got to the count of three, and the match was over. I walked out of the ring with my head held high, and I didn’t look back to see if Kiera was okay. I didn’t really care. There was a big smile on my face. It would be a while until I was strong enough to take on Beth Phoenix once more, but that was the first step on the way back to the big time.
I had the locker room to myself. My black and green leotard came off quickly, and my regular street clothes came on just as speedily. I was just headed back to my hotel to rest up for the next day, so there really wasn’t much need to dress in anything nicer than a tank top and jeans. My bag was over my shoulder and I had taken a few steps to the door when it swung open, slamming with a loud bang on the wall.
She was gorgeous, that was plain to see. Her Metallica t-shirt showed off the strength in her arms. The raven haired girl was not well-endowed up top, or not nearly well-endowed as I was at any rate, but she had the hips of a fertility goddess. I couldn’t see it now, but I knew she had a toned ass. That booty proved to be a major focus of mine when I was watching her matches online. She was good, and a rising star. It was good to scope out the competition, I thought. Then, when the time came, to crush them.
Her face had a lovely roundness to it, I thought. It could have been that she had nice cheekbones, but I think she had a pretty nice jawline. And those eyes that were oh so big always seemed to sparkle with mischief.
Which was half the reason I came to Atlanta in the first place.
“Taeler!” She had a thin face that accentuated a look of hatred that she bore towards me. “That was fucked up.”
“Was it?” I twirled my long red hair as I spoke. She looked annoyed, the way that I wanted her to be.
“You know it was. And me and you are going to wrestle tomorrow!” She demanded.
“Oh yeah? You ready to get your ass kicked just like Kiera?” I took a half step forward, and now our breasts were touching. I wonder if the shiver that she took was because she knew that my large chest was dominating hers.
“You just tried to pull some shit. And we’re not doing just some regular match, we are doing a handcuffs match.” She was speaking rapidly now.
I arched an eyebrow. That piqued my interest. “Oh, that would be fun.” I said.
“Good, sign this.” Priscilla extended a piece of paper forward, as well as a pen. It was a little odd, I thought, but you sign a contract to get paid. Once I put pen on paper, the look of hatred on her face faded into a smile. That unnerved me a bit.
“See you tomorrow,” she turned. I could not help but look at her round bubble butt as she left.
I was spending most of the next day in my hotel room, idly scrolling through my social media news feed and watching the reaction to what I had done. Already, clips of Kiera’s destruction were spreading far and wide. Heels always got a lot of heat, but this was the sort of heat that I could deal with. They weren’t talking about me like I was some underhanded bitch that the fans couldn’t stand, they were talking about me with great interest. It wasn’t lost on me that the number of followers I had shot up, either.
As I was scrolling through, I couldn’t help but notice that quite a lot of WWE execs liked and favorited a few clips of what I had done. That made me smile even wider.
I was resting on the bed when my manager texted me, asking me if I actually read the contract. My response was a quick no, which he was apoplectic about. He informed me that in the contract it was written that the loser was going to be the prisoner of the winner for the rest of the night, which made me shudder. There was a reason that Priscilla Kelly had been so damn happy about having me sign the contract, and I threw my phone on the bed in anger at myself. Even a little while with Beth had been degrading for me, and I couldn’t possibly imagine what someone like Priscilla Kelly would do.
I grabbed my laptop and started watching some of her matches. My matches were notorious for being pretty sexy, but this was something else. One time, she pulled a tampon out and shoved it into an opponent’s mouth. Another time, she had an opponent against the ropes, and grinded her sex on their chest, causing some deal of pain but a great deal of embarrassment. Among her many conquests in the ring was the time that she stuck her hands inside her bottoms for a second, and then put her hands in a woman’s mouth, right there in front of everyone.
This was just information that I could find readily available, on places like Reddit or Twitter. It occurred to me that this was likely not the first time that she had made someone do a match with a stipulation like this. I couldn’t find much outside of a few forum posts about what she did, but the posts that I saw did have a few things in common. Namely, they all used phrases like ‘9 inch strap-on’ and ‘all night’ and ‘humiliation’, all of which horrified me in their own way.
Although, the more that I thought about it, the more I considered how much fun it would be to have Priscilla Kelly on my bed. Before I left for my trip to the East coast, something told me that I should put my strap-on in my bag, and I was very happy that I did so. To have her doggy style on my bed would rid me of all the bad thoughts that Beth Phoenix had placed in me, about how she had dominated me so thoroughly, both in a wrestling way and in a sexual one. I still can picture her now, towering above me, as I kneeled before her naked to suck her strap-on. Oh, and that was after she fucked me with it.
But tonight was up to me, I thought. Priscilla Kelly was a strong wrestler, and would be coming out hot after what I had done to her friend. Maybe I could use that energy to my advantage, and goad her into mistakes.
Soon, the time of the match came. We were going to be the only match that night, which made things a lot easier. I went back to the same gym where I had been the night before a bit earlier than I had to. The nervous energy was getting to me, I had to admit. I got dressed in the locker room quickly, pulling on my green and black leotard with a healthy amount of cleavage showing. I did a spin in the mirror to check myself out. My ass was nice and round and full, and my chest was voluptuous. Win or lose, I was definitely going to be looking good.
I waited backstage as Priscilla emerged first. This was a home audience for her, so she got a huge amount of applause. When I appeared, I was met with a torrent of boos, which wasn’t surprising. I walked down to the ring with a smile on my face, and my head held high. The fact that they hated me did nothing but spur me on.
I slid under the bottom rope to find Priscilla Kelly standing there. She was wearing her red and black attire, the one with the roses on the side of her bottoms and the letters PK on the butt. The ripped fishnets made her look spectacular, I thought. Spectacular enough for me to fuck her senseless later.
I looked around and saw that there were handcuffs at the top of every turnbuckle, glinting in the light of the gym. My attention turned back to Priscilla. The ref stood next to me, and it looked like she was doing her best.
“You know,” she started, “the only reason that anyone ever books you is because you have big boobs. And tonight I am going to play with them.” She extended her hand and mimed her squishing my breasts.
“At least I have tits, A cup,” I shot back. “Although it does fit your vibe as a Paige clone, so maybe it works.”
That got her worked up. The bell rang, and she charged at me. I locked up with her for a second, but she easily slid around me. I then tried to spin and go behind her, but she managed to catch my arm behind me. The raven haired girl was brutal as she yanked it up, applying a ton of pressure to my elbow. She then spun me around and grabbed the sides of my head, and flipped me over so I crashed down into the mat.
I bounced up, and we locked up again. Once more she sidled in behind me and had me in a brutal hammerlock. Instead of going for a power move as I would have done, she pulled my head back and licked the side of my face.
A shiver went down my spine. She seized on my pausing for a second to wrap both arms around me and then send me up and over for a German suplex. The strong move rendered me helpless for a moment, as I rolled over and lay on my back.
Priscilla was looming above me with her hands on her hips. “I can’t wait to make you lick my toes,” she threatened.
“Fat chance!” I shot back, as I launched a kick into her stomach. That doubled her over and bought me enough time to get up and loop my arm around her head so I could slam her down to the mat for a quick DDT.
She cried out in pain, and I was on the move. I moved to pick her up, and went for a headbutt to soften the raven haired hottie a bit. To follow up, I grabbed her and then hammered her into the mat for a belly to belly suplex.
When she landed, her back arched with pain. The crowd booed me loudly as I popped up and extended my arms wide out to them. Their princess of pain was going to learn the hard way what it meant to be positively poison, and I was taunting them with everything I had.
Priscilla was taking that time to recover. I didn’t know that for sure, but I could basically gather that from what she did next. Two hands grabbed my boobs, causing me to yelp out in surprise. Priscilla was not content to just grope me, however, as she used that to haul me up and fling me back with a move that I could only call a boobplex.
I once again crashed down. Instead of following up, Priscilla once again stood over me.
“Get the fuck up, you worthless slut.” She demanded. Confused, I pulled myself up and took a step back.
“We’re going to do a contest of strength, you and me.” At that, the crowd roared out their delight.
“You got it, bitch,” I shot back.
“Only we’re going to do it my style,” she said with a deep grin. Priscilla started reaching into her bottoms and I could see her fingers moving around down there. Her hands popped out, and she was snickering. The crowd shouted out their approval.
“What, are you afraid?” She demanded, after I hesitated for a moment.
“N-no…” I stammered.
“Then prove it.” She approached me.
I raised my hands, and felt her wetness. The look of shock on my face must have been plain to see for everyone, as I did what I could. After all, I was the bigger of the two of us, and I should be winning this with no problem.
Only, that was not Priscilla’s plan. She kicked me right in the stomach, causing me to bend over, and then grabbed my hair and whipped me over to the ropes. When I came bounding back, she grabbed my arm and hit an arm drag and I slammed into the mat. She held onto my arm as I tried to stand up, and then swept my legs out from under me.
I fell down to the mat once more, and Priscilla used the fact that she still had my arm to her advantage to turn me over. From there, she let go of my arm, and instead moved to grab my legs. She swung her hips around. From there, it was nothing but pain for me. I was in a double legged Boston crab, and Priscilla was pulling about as hard as she could.
“Gaaah!” I shouted, my legs alight with pain. Priscilla was clearly in the dominant position, but I was stronger. The way to the ropes was not as long as it could have been, but Priscilla made me feel every last second of pain in my legs. Soon, I made it all the way out for a rope break.
It took me a second, once I had gotten my hand on the ropes, to recover completely. Priscilla did not need that time. She turned me so that I was facing the middle of the ring, and then shoved my head between the bottom and middle ropes. I knew what was coming next but there was nothing that I could do to stop it.
Priscilla spread her legs around my neck, and started grinding on me. The raven haired girl was moving her hips up and down and back and forth to the great amusement of the crowd. It was a painful move to be sure, with all of her weight on me, but it was far more degrading as she used me as a sex object right there in the ring.
I mustered my strength and pushed her off, and she fell back. Priscilla rolled backwards to the center of the ring and popped up gracefully.
“That’s just a taste of what is going to come tonight. You did read the contract, right?” She taunted.
“I did,” I spat back, “and you are going to kiss my ass!”
With that, I charged forward. I think I caught her by surprise when my superkick met her right in the chin, because she fell down flat. I rushed forward and picked her up before I whipped her over to the ropes. She saved herself from bouncing back by grabbing the top rope, but I was already charging forward and nailed her with a clothesline that sent her spilling over the top rope and onto the concrete floor.
I slid out after her. The ref started her count up to twenty, so I knew that I had to work quickly. Priscilla was on the ground, groaning with pain, a fact that I took advantage of. I hauled her first up to her feet, and then I pulled her onto my back. My hands then clamped down on her jaw and on her leg for a tight torture rack.
Priscilla’s moans of anguish bounced around the gym, but I wasn’t going to stop there. I walked over to the barricade, where the fans were.
“Wanna feel her tits?” I asked a woman in the audience. She nodded yes, and I turned around. As I turned my head, I could see that the lady was groping Priscilla, which brought a smile to my face. The ref’s count was climbing too high for my liking, so I walked back to the ring with Priscilla in tow, and offloaded her onto the apron. I quickly got up and slid between the middle rope and the top rope, which Priscilla used as a chance to roll into the middle of the ring and get to her feet.
“I am going to make you pay for that one, whore,” the rage was written all over her face.
“Bring it,” I threatened. The only problem was, when she actually brought it, I was completely unprepared. She charged at me and clotheslined me down to the mat. I flew backwards, and crashed a few feet away. Priscilla was on top of me in a second, and rolled me over. A strong arm was around my neck, brutally choking me. I sputtered and reached for the rope, but it was too far away plus she was totally on top of me now, making any escape difficult.
Luckily for me, you could only hold onto a choke for a few seconds. Priscilla held the choke a second longer than she had to, which meant that when she let go I couldn’t do anything other than clutch at my throat. The crowd was roaring now, but I couldn’t quite explain why.
Priscilla soon gave me the reason that they were cheering. She had me fishhooked with two fingers on either side of my mouth. That was embarrassing enough as it was, but I could tell from the taste that she had stuck her hands down her pants, which was why the crowd was reacting as it did.
“Come on, Taeler, why don’t you smile more?” She mocked me as she pulled my lips back into a smile.
I kicked my legs rapidly, and she let go. She smacked my ass, causing me to jiggle a lot, before she grabbed the hem of my leotard and pulling me upright. Priscilla then sent me right back down to the canvas with a jumping cutter that filled my brain with fog.
When she pulled me up from the mat, and I wobbled for a second. It was hard for me to think straight, let alone stand straight, a fact that Priscilla exploited. She was behind me now, and I was leaning against her.
“Hey Atlanta, want to see where my strap-on is going tonight?” She said. They shouted their approval. Priscilla reached down and moved the bottom of my leotard so that my sex was now exposed for the world to see. She laughed darkly right in my ear, but something was awoken in me.
I sent an elbow right to her gut, which caused her to falter back, time that I took to try and regain as much dignity as I could by setting my leotard back. She snickered at me as I did so.
I took a step forward and slapped her as hard as I could. Part of me just wanted to get some revenge for her exposing my femininity, but I knew that would make her mad, get her off her game.
Just I thought she might, she came surging back, a fact that I exploited. I quickly turned to the side and executed a perfect hip toss that sent her down to the mat. She was stunned for a second, and I used that precious moment to wheel around and get a figure four leg lock on her.
She howled in pain. I looked directly into her eyes as she did so. This woman hated me for what I had done to Kiera Hogan, and now I hated her for what she had done to me. I wanted to grind her down until she was putty in my hands, and I let the hold linger.
But that was not going to be the end, not what got her in handcuffs and then in my bed. I got up as she was recovering, and stomped on her hair. I twisted my boot, causing Priscilla’s long dark locks to tug painfully at her scalp.
That made her hiss with pain. I smiled and thought that it would be far easier than what was coming next. She came up quickly as I pulled her up, and went to the turnbuckle just as quickly when I Irish whipped her there.
Priscilla came to a stop with her back to the turnbuckle, and I sent a hard clothesline to her chin as she stood there. I then backed up, and showed off some of my athleticism when I did a handstand with my strong thighs clamped around her head. I flung the raven haired girl forward and she landed face up a few feet away.
I started climbing the turnbuckle. It wasn’t something that I usually did, but the anger was flowing through me now, and I was going to act on it. Had I been more experienced with this sort of thing, I would have done some cool flip or a spin. But I was Taeler Hendrix, and one of my biggest assets was my big rear. A fact that Priscilla learned when I landed with my ass right in her face.
Her arms flopped to the side. I got up, and did a curtsy to mock the fans in the audience. I then picked her up and stood beside her. Her legs went up high as I went for a pendulum facebuster that I thought might send Priscilla to la la land.
When I rose up, I saw that she wasn’t out of it yet. The raven haired girl was barely clinging to consciousness, and I knew just the move to push her over the edge. I stood her up, and laid a big kiss on those lips of hers, which roused her a bit. But not nearly enough.
I quickly turned her upside down, and hit her with a piledriver. The fact that her arms and legs fell akimbo when she hit the mat told me that she was out of it. I started to go grab a pair of handcuffs from one of the turnbuckles, but something stopped me. Tonight had so much potential for humiliation before the match was even over.
“Someone get me a marker,” I demanded from the ringside staff, and a sharpie was thrown to me. I caught it and returned back to Priscilla. When I rolled her over, her eyes were closed and she showed no signs that she was awake. I wrote my name in big capital letters across her forehead, and then propped her up.
I turned her face so that everyone in the audience could see, and I positively relished all of the boos that came my way. I set her back down, and went to go grab one of the handcuffs off the turnbuckle. Some day, Priscilla would see how much I had dominated her in body, and then dominated her in spirit as I proclaimed my ownership over her for the entire evening by scrawling my name on her forehead.
I rolled her over so that she was facedown, and pulled her arms behind her. The click of the cuffs was a precursor to the ringing of the bell, a sign that the match was over and that Priscilla was going to be mine for the evening. I plucked her from the canvas and threw her over my shoulder in a fireman’s carry. My mind was already spinning with all of the fun things I could make her do tonight.
When we got back to my hotel, she hadn’t woken up yet. Management at the federation was nice enough to give me a key, as well as her bag. I hadn’t even changed out of my wrestling outfit, I was in that much of a rush to get back.
I laid Priscilla out on the bed, and straddled her. A quick smack roused her from her slumber.
“Wh-what happened?” She asked.
“You lost, bitch, and guess what happens now?” I stared at her and licked my lips.
“Fuck!” She groaned
“Yeah, sooner or later,” I smiled, “but right now you are going to learn your fucking place.” I slapped her again.
“What was that for?” She demanded.
“Because you haven’t apologized yet.” I replied.
“Apologize for what?” She asked.
I slapped her again. “For thinking that you could beat me.”
“I’m not gonna-” before she could finish her sentence I slapped her again.
“Want to get another piledriver?” I threatened.
“Okay, okay,” she sighed. “I’m sorry for thinking that I could beat you.”
“And?” I asked.
“And what?” She was bewildered.
I slapped her again. “You are going to apologize for being an inferior woman to me.”
She bared her teeth, but I raised my hand as if to slap her again, and she didn’t want any part of that. “I’m sorry,” she mumbled, “for being an inferior woman.”
“Not good enough,” I insisted as I slapped her, “who is the inferior woman?”
“I am the inferior woman!” She shouted.
That first admission was a good one, but I knew that I had not completely broken her yet.
“Open your mouth,” I demanded. She did as I told her to.
I spat right into it, and she recoiled a bit.
“Swallow it,” I commanded her. The look on her face as she did so was precious to me.
I slapped her.
“What was that for?” She begged.
“Aren’t you going to thank me for spitting in your mouth?” I asked.
“Th-thanks for spitting in my mouth,” she said.
“Good little slut. Now that’s been resolved, let us get you out of those clothes,” I said as I got off her. The boots were easy, and I pulled them off without much of a fuss from Priscilla. As I was taking her bottoms off, Priscilla made a face but didn’t protest. I brushed against her sex with my fingers, which caused her to turn her head to the side. She was totally shaved.
“Now, what are we going to do with that top? Awfully hard to get off with those handcuffs on…” I mused.
“You could always take them off,” Priscilla suggested.
I slapped her. “Don’t say stupid things.”
“Okay,” she grumbled.
“Oh, and you’re going to call me goddess,” I said. I thought about how she had exposed my sex to everyone, and I felt that it was right to lay it on thick.
“Yes, goddess,” she said.
“That’s more like it,” I said. Instead of uncuffing her, I thought the easiest way to get her naked was to cut her top to shreds, something that a pair of scissors in the desk helped me with. Priscilla didn’t like the fact that she wasn’t going to be able to use that top any more, as I could see from her expression, but she wasn’t in a position to do much about it.
I ran my hands all over her naked body. The hardness of her shoulders contrasted delightfully with the softness of her ass.
“You hate this, don’t you? That I have conquered you?” I teased her.
“Yes,” she admitted.
I slapped her.
“Yes, goddess,” she corrected herself.
“Tell me, how many times have you been taken like this?” I asked her.
“N-never,” she said, “I’ve always won these types of matches, goddess.”
“Ohhh, so I need to break you in,” I said. I pulled her off the bed, so that she was kneeling before me. My hand went under her chin, and I forced her to look up into my eyes. The feeling of dominance that washed over me was pure. I loved the fact that she hated me so much, but was now a pawn at my feet. And she knew the fact that her attempts at embarrassing me were going to make it worse for her. As I looked into her soft blue eyes, I wondered if she was thinking of ways to try and make me merciful. But there were no humiliations deep enough, shameful enough for me to not make her partake in.
I walked up to her, and forced her head down. “Lick my boots,” I commanded. Her head bobbed up and down as she licked the leather. She must have thought that the situations would be reversed, that I would be licking her boots afterwards. That sense of superiority probably made her think of the match in the first place, and I wanted to strip her of the notion that she was a strong woman.
I pushed her head to the side as I undid my boots. It was only a few steps for me to walk over to the bed, but any inch of walking on her knees must have felt like a mile for Priscilla. I extended my foot out.
“Come over here and suck on my toes,” I demanded. She awkwardly shuffled over, and did as she was told. A warm sensation bubbled up from my feet. There was the raw pleasure of having a woman suck your big toe, of course, but I delighted in the fact that I had crushed her physically to get her in such a position.
I put my foot down, and grabbed her hair so that her eye level was at the same height as my sex. “What did you say in the ring?” I challenged her.
“I said that my strap-on was going there tonight, goddess,” she demurred. Her eyes were cast down as she said it.
“Look at me!” I pressed. Her blue eyes turned up at me once more. “Is your strap-on going here tonight?”
“No, goddess.” She said.
“Why not?” I looked at her. It seemed to me that she didn’t know that I had written my name across her forehead yet, but I was going to show her. It was just a question of finding the perfect moment.
“Because I lost, goddess,” she groaned.
“You’re damn right you did.” I pushed her away, and she fell onto the carpet. I was standing above her now, disrobing. She was looking up at me. “Look away, you don’t deserve this,” I said. Priscilla quickly complied with what I had told her to do, as I finished shimmying out of every stitch of clothing that I had on.
I went back to the bed, and sat on it. My pale skin was nearly the same color as the white bed sheets below the blanket. “Come over here,” I ordered. My legs spread before the kneeling Priscilla.
“You’re going to eat me out,” I stated. I grabbed the back of her head, and pulled it into me. Both of my legs rested on her shoulders as I leaned back to enjoy it.
And wow, did I enjoy it. At first it was very difficult for me to believe that Priscilla had been taken like this before because the raven haired girl really knew what she was doing. Her tongue lapped against my clitoris slowly at first, feeling me out, getting to know me in a sensual manner. I felt her go in a circle, then the other way, then coming up and down and left and right as she found the right way to drive me crazy.
She must have known the things that made women happy. My wetness met her face intimately, and I bit my lip. I wanted to fight off the raw pleasure that was now crashing into me, because the longer that Priscilla ate me out the more degrading it was for her.
But I couldn’t. I was soon writhing all over the bed, moaning loudly enough to be heard three rooms over. Priscilla’s tongue explored, flicking this way and that until my leg shot out over Priscilla’s shoulder. I was squeezing her head into my sex. It was an involuntary motion as Priscilla’s tongue rendered me incapable of any control over my body. It wasn’t long until my dam burst. I came, twisting in bed. Priscilla kept working my clitoris so that my stomach tightened so much I could hardly breathe. The second wave of pleasure was better than the first, as my yelp of joy attested to.
Priscilla slowed down as pangs of pleasure would make my arm or my leg suddenly seize, and I pushed her head away.
I looked at her, and I got a beautiful sight. There kneeled the big bad Priscilla Kelly, with her lips covered in my juices and my name in capital letters on her forehead. There was a shame in her eyes that was getting me off, as I felt myself more dominant with every passing second. I leaned in, and played with her hair. She didn’t say anything. I wiped the cum off my leg with two fingers, which I then stuck in her mouth.
“That’s what my juice tastes like,” I laughed. “I am going to make you taste your own cum too.”
To make good on my threat, I went to my bag and grabbed my strap-on. I pulled it up to my hips, and dangled my strap-on in front of her, just to let her know who the dominant woman was. She yelped when I grabbed her hair and threw her face down onto the bed. I pulled her ass up into the air and gave her booty a smack.
I drew my fingers along her sex, and the dark-haired woman moaned in answer. My body reacted. Priscilla was going to be the one riding the strap-on, but I couldn't help but enjoy the fact that my nipples were getting that much harder, my heart was beating that much faster, and Priscilla’s hips were now in my hands.
I plunged the toy into her, yielding an even louder moan. The shlicking sound bounced around my hotel room, but that was soon drowned out by Priscilla’s groans of pleasure. I was going to take her slowly, at least at first. She deserved to have a nice build up, not because I thought she deserved the pleasure, but so she could feel every moment of the humiliation.
And there could be no doubt that it was humiliation. That was the only word that came to my mind as I intensified Priscilla’s pleasure. All of her confidence was gone now, all of her smack talking. Now the only thing that came from her lips was louder and louder moans of ecstasy.
She was still in her handcuffs. That was the best part. There was nothing she could do about it. Priscilla was the one who wanted to do a handcuff match, one where she agreed to be mine for the night. I wondered if she was thinking about now, as I thrust harder and harder into her.
That was, if her mind hadn’t been made totally blank by the raw pleasure coursing through her. I knew that because she was practically screaming her moans out now, but even if I didn’t have that I knew that the thrusting she was getting would send practically anyone to heaven.
Then it came. Priscilla’s body started convulsing. I saw those tight shoulders seize hard, and the gasps and moans didn’t stop as I gave her a few thrusts to finish her off. I pulled out of her, my strap-on still wet with her juices, and stood up.
I bent down to grab her pretty black hair, and pulled her up to her knees. The funny thing was, I didn’t even have to start saying anything. She just sucked on my cock. A dark laugh filled the room. I had broken her completely now, taken her mind from her. The sucking sound that she made as she sucked her own juices filled my heart with malicious joy. My name, Taeler, was there on her forehead, my little present for myself after having dominated Priscilla in the ring. And now the sight of Priscilla sucking her own honey from my strap-on was my present for having dominated Priscilla in bed.
“Wait here a minute,” I said as I removed my strap-on from her mouth. A trail of her honey fell onto her pale, naked breast.
I went back to my bag, and got the key for the handcuffs and my phone out. I went back to standing on the bed, but before I made her suck my cock again I unlocked her hands. Then I got my phone out, so I could record her.
“Do you want to slurp my strap-on?” I asked her.
“Yes, goddess,” she said as she moved her mouth forward.
I grabbed her head and pulled it away, so I could start filming a video for myself.
“I said, do you want to slurp my strap-on?” I asked her again.
She looked up at me with those blue eyes. “I want to suck your cock,” she said. My name was on her forehead and there was lust in her eyes. There I was, standing on the bed, naked and triumphant.
“Go ahead,” I said as I shoved her face onto the plastic. I made sure that I got as many angles as I could of her sucking my dick, and see the look on my face as well. This would be mostly for personal use, but if her husband saw it, that wouldn’t be so bad. Nor would it be the end of the world if it got leaked onto a wrestling forum, either.
I pushed her down onto the bed, and spread her legs. Usually I didn’t like sex tapes, but this was a special moment for me. I angled it so that it was facing the bed.
Priscilla was clearly aching for my strap-on, and I wanted to oblige her. This time, instead of being tender, I rammed the toy deep inside her. That earned me a low moan. I couldn’t tell if it was pleasure, or if it was pain, so I decided to make that decision for her by grabbing her throat and choking her.
Last time, I had built her up. A flick of my hips had sent her spiraling, just as a careful up and down made her groan. But this time, I didn’t want that. I wanted her to feel my power, feel my domination, feel my strength.
My pounding was ruthless. If she had those pretty blue eyes of hers open, she would have seen my large breasts bouncing up and down, but they were closed, as Priscilla was lost in the reverie of passionate embrace. My hand clamped around her throat tighter, and I could feel the raven-haired woman strain under me. But it was not a strain to get out, it was a strain for much more intimate release.
I would give it to her. My hips were moving with the intensity of a train, and all of the strength. Red hair flew back and forth as I worked her, my hips going back and forth with everything that I had. Grunts came out of my lips, and moans of pleasure came from hers.
The bed was rocking. That made me smile. Or as much as a powerful woman could smile as she was fucking another woman’s brains out, because I was concentrating on driving Priscilla wild with sexual energy.
She wasn’t able to take it for long. Gasps started it, but when I saw those tight abs of hers shudder, I knew that she was all mine. I did not stop. The looks on Priscilla’s face were too beautiful for me, going from intense to relaxed to wild as the waves of orgasm crashed through her.
I stopped, and leaned back. Priscilla’s head turned to the side. She was asleep, just like that, that made me smile a toothy smile, because I was out of breath from fucking her so hard. I pulled the strap-on off, and turned her on her side. There we were, our bodies enmeshed, her strong back against my soft breasts. I threw a sweaty arm around her and went to sleep.
When I woke up, she was standing up, getting her clothes on.
“Stop,” I said.
She looked over at me, but didn’t answer. I sat up in the bed, and scooted towards her.
“I bet you have never been fucked like that,” I said with an evil grin.
She didn’t say anything, but the look on her face told me that I was right.
“You think you are just going to get fucked like that and run? Nah, I am going to take a trophy.”
I stood up, and walked over to her. She was intimidated by me, I knew it. I exploited that fact to pull her panties down, and hold them up.
“These are mine now. A little souvenir from dominating you.”
“Come on,” she whined.
“No, I am taking them. And just for that, you’re getting this.” I pushed her against the wall, and kissed her deeply. The fact that she didn’t do anything as I slid my tongue in her mouth told me that I still had power over her, even now. And when she threw her leg around me, I knew that my breaking of her still lingered.
“Yes, goddess,” she said as she looked to the side.
“You may go.”
I walked her to the hotel room door. When I reached into the hallway to smack her ass she gave a yelp. I returned to my bed, still naked. I needed sleep. My flight wasn’t for a long time, and I hadn’t had enough rest last night.
submitted by LtLukas to PriscillaKelly [link] [comments]

CreateYoureReality NFL Week 17 Analysis and Picks (Last week of regular season!!!😀 )

Weeks 15 and16 Recap: Hello! I hope everyone had a wonderful Christmas and New Year! The stats in the recap are just of week 15. I did not make a post or any plays on week 16, as I was busy playing an online poker tournament, here in New Jersey. My apologies for slowing down a bit this year, it has been rather busy here. We have one more week to get it in before PLAYOFFS?!., Lets see what value we can find.
Singles (4-4 -1.03u)
Parlays (0u) All Free Bets
Teasers (1-0 +8u)
BBDLS (0-5 -2.7u)

Sunday Games

Dallas at New York Giants: Potentially a huge game for either one of these teams. Whichever of these teams wins gets to sweat the Eagles/Washington game and pray for an Eagles win. Dallas has been playing well over the last quarter of the season holding opponents to 24, and their offense has been clicking averaging over 30ppg over that span. Even with the defensive improvement, they are still one of the worst defenses in the league. New York on the other hand has a top 10 defense. It has been doing a fantastic job this year, struggling a bit over the last two weeks but overall is still one of the better defenses in the NFL. Their offense scores a pedestrianly average of 17 ppg but on the bright side seems to have figured out their turnover problem with Daniel Jones. Taking into account full season stats, the algo has this as NY -2. Taking into account only the last 4 games the algo has this as DAL -4.5. The bets the algo favors the most are teasing either team +6.5 or more. It predicts the highest likely game script includes mostly low scoring games due to it being a divisional rematch to end the season and potentially get in the playoffs.

Pittsburgh at Cleveland: A very important game for Cleveland, not so much for Pittsburgh. Cleveland needs the win to guarantee a playoff birth, while PIT has already punched their ticket. In fact, PIT will be resting Big Ben, in order to have him at his freshest for a playoff run. Cleveland will be returning most of the players that were out due to Covid vs. the Jets. They will still be missing 2 LB and 2 Safetys, but the majority of the key offensive players have returned. For Pittsburgh they will see Mason Rudolph step in at QB, the last team he faced the Browns, him and Myles Garret got into a fight that saw Garret swing a helmet on an unprotected head of Rudolph. The algo loves Cleveland to come in and take care of business, however it only likes a spread of -7/8. It was 4.5 with Big Ben but with the news of him out, it adjusts about a field goal.

New York Jets at New England: Boy oh boy, what a dumpster fire we have here. Both teams out of playoff contention, and both seeing some of their worst lows. (Although the Jets are more used to this at the end of the season) Jets have had some recent success, winning their first two games and beating two pretty good teams in the process. Now they go for three in a row to close out the season vs the struggling offensively, New England Patriots. They will be sitting Cam Newton and starting Stidham this week. He has looked even worse than Cam, so I don't really know what we can expect out of their offense this week. The algo leans about as close to a pickem as the computer can produce so you can imagine with the Jets catching points and odds on the moneyline, we will be looking their way.

Minnesota at Detroit: This game is currently on my dog or avoid list. There is to much uncertainty with the Lions QB and who is starting. All we do know is that Dalvin Cook for the Vikings is not going to be playing this game due to a death in the family. With the missing key offensive player and the unknown with Covid who the starters will be, this game is an avoid. (Possibly find value with the dog if Stafford is announced playing right before game time)
With two mediocre defenses (The Lions just giving up) this could be a good game for a same game parlays on some props. Jefferson and Thielen are both close to breaking records. Cook is out so backup RB should get more touches...

Atlanta at Tampa Bay: This is a tricky one for me. The algo loves TB to take care of business at home and favors them by 6. However, I personally am weary of both this and the Saints game as neither team NEEDs a win and only the Saints can positively change their playoff seating with a win *(and a GB loss). I think it is possible and highly favorable for both teams to rest their key starters in order to give them a makeshift bye week. Because of that, I will mostly stay away from this game and the Saints game.

Baltimore at Cincinnati: A divisional game that is a "Win and you're in" game for Baltimore. They will be taking on the Bengals, that have actually looked great in their last few games. However, the algo does heavily favor the Raven's to get it done on the road to close out the season. It does think that two TDs might be a bit much though. Because of that I lean Baltimore winning and clinching a playoff birth, but will either look Cincy on the points or stay away from the spread.

Miami at Buffalo: A VERY important game for Miami. Win, and you're in. Lose, and most likely the Colts are in. Fitzmagic came in in the last 3 mins and gave them the win and this opportunity, however he is out with Covid this game so no Magic to be had. It will be down to Tua vs. whoever Buffalo decides to play. Personally I think the value is on Miami. Who knows who and how long the Buffalo starters will play, given they are already in the Playoffs. But, it would be sweet for them to keep a divisional rival out of the post season. My algo likes Buffalo, but my gut says Miami.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis: I shouldn't have to talk about this game. Indy knows they need a win and help, and Jacksonville already STUNNED INDY to open the season. It should be a confident grind of a win...but Rivers feeling defeated and needing help to make the post season, this might be a trap game.

Green Bay at Chicago: Ugh, such a hard game. My algo has GB as -3.5 Favorites (6.5 if they were at home) I think the loss of one of GBs key O-line might have a greater effect on them than one of their star offensive scorers. Rodgers is one of the best when given time, but take that time from him and he starts to crumble. Chicago has been playing as well as they could hope for down the stretch. They need a win or a loss and some help to be in.

Tennessee at Houston: Henry needs like 223 yards to reach the 2000 yard club. Houston is one of the worst teams in the league at stopping the run? Seems like a recipe for some TEN running and a play action pass or two for some big chunks. EZ$ Tenn

New Orleans at Carolina: The had NO as -6.5 here, but the loss of Kamara has to be worth at least 3 points right now given NO is already a little shorthanded without Thomas. Carolina has been one of those teams that just hasn't quit. They keep playing and will probably be a good team to bet on next year as they develop. Personally, a divisional game where NO doesn't improve their playoff standings with a win (unless GB loses to CHI) might be a recipe for CAR to have some easy shots at covering, backdoor covering, and maybe just winning outright. Like most of the teams with their ticket punched, there is a good chance they rest starters in the second half just to preserve the health of key players.

Seattle at San Francisco: Except for the loss to the Giants, Seattle has been on fire in the second half. Their offense hasn't had the firepower it started the season with, but it seems to be adding some more short passing into its game and finding a better balance. While the defense seems to be clicking on on cylinders. They have given up 17 or less in their last 5. As for San Fran: " Shanahan said he doesn't expect Garoppolo (ankle) to return this week. Wide receivers Brandon Aiyuk (ankle) and Deebo Samuel (hamstring), left tackle Trent Williams (elbow), defensive end Jordan Willis (ankle) and cornerback Richard Sherman (calf) have already been ruled out. Kicker Robbie Gould was placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list"
I think this is the best odds you are going to get on SEA winning the whole thing. I gave this play out to my premium subscribers a few weeks ago, but I like (and bet) SEA having the best odds/price to make it out of the NFC. If by some lucky chance GB and NO lose today, SEA can still get the number one seed and a first round bye. They are currently +1200 to win it all and have (in my algo's opinion) the best QB in the NFC right now.
🤑🤑🤑 GO GET THAT MONEY 🤑🤑🤑

Las Vegas at Denver: This is one of my throwaway games. My algo has this as LV -2, however both teams are out of the playoffs and this game leaves the door open for anyone to flop, or try their heart out. Personally I love Derrick Carr and I think the Raiders are primed to make a deep playoff run next given a few additions to defense.

Arizona at LA Rams: Hmmmm... Kyler Murray is playing(hurtish) Arizona basically needs a win and in. Rams also need a win, but can still make it with a loss. Both teams should be playing their harderst, the biggest variable is going to be the Rams QB. Goff is hurt and will not play. Rams will be going with recently upgraded from the practice squad, Worford. He will be playing in his first NFL game, and I expect the Rams to lean very heavy on the run. Worford IS a mobile-ish QB, so it isn't out of the question for him to take the rams to a good low scoring, defensive win. If he can just make 4-5 good throws on key downs and NOT turn the ball over, I think the Rams come out on top. But if he can't handle the NFL speed and commits even one turnover, then AZ becomes the favorite to win.

Washington at Philadelphia: Last game of the night! Flexed here because it has massive implications in the NFC East. If Washington wins, they win the NFC East and make the playoffs as the 4 seed. If Philly wins, then the winner of the Dallas/NYG game will be the winner of the NFC East. Washington let go of their rookie QB and Alex Smith will start with a "hurt" calf. Philly has 9 players on the injury report and is expected to reach deep into their reserves to field players for this one. My algo slightly favors Washington to win, but given 3-5 points at home, on primetime, I lean heavy Philly.


Singles (91-116-1, -30.11u)
Parlays (6-30, +33.96u)

Teasers (4-4, +34.6u)
BBDLS (0-66, -50.24u)

Futures plays:
Seattle to win the NFC (100u to win 600u)
Seattle to win the Super Bowl (83.33u to win 1000u)


Thank you everyone for reading. Good luck to all!!
submitted by CreateYoureReality to CreateYoureReality [link] [comments]

r/NFL Top 100 Players of the 2019 Season - #20-11

Welcome to the reveal for players ranked 20-11 for this year’s NFL Top 100 Players for the 2019 Season!

Players whose average rank had them land in places 20-11 are on this portion of the list revealed today. Players are associated with the team they finished 2019 with.
Below you will see write-ups from rankers summarizing the players' 2019 season and why they were among the best in 2019. Stats for each player are from this season and are included below. Additionally, their previous ranks in this long running series are also available for all of you.
Methodology
LINK TO THE HUB POST WITH A MORE DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE METHODOLOGY
  1. A CALL FOR RANKERS just after the Super Bowl.
  2. Rankers for each team nominated players to rank. 10 Games Played Minimum Threshold. Players are associated with the team they finished the 2019 Season with.
  3. The Grind. Utilize ranking threads for individual rankers broken up by positional group. Users were tasked with ranking players within the following tiers based on their evaluation: T-25, T-50, T-100, T-125 based on 2019 regular season only. There were no individual case threads. There were no arbitrary position limit caps. Just questions and rankings.
  4. Users submitted their individual Top 125 list. Ranking out to 125 is new for this year.
  5. User lists were reviewed for outliers by me with assistance from two former rankers. Users were permitted to correct any mistakes found. Once complete, lists were locked.
  6. Reveal the list… right now.
So now, without further ado, here are the players ranked 20-11 in the NFL Top 100 Players of the 2019 Season!

#20 - Danielle Hunter - EDGE - Minnesota Vikings

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
N/A N/A N/A N/R N/R N/R 32
Written By: uggsandstarbux
Khalil Mack. Von Miller. JJ Watt. Those are the names that come up when you mention edge players in the NFL over the last half a decade. Yet none have as many sacks as Danielle Hunter in the last two years. Hunter is continually passed over in the conversation of edge rushers. Even among young edge rushers like the Bosa brothers, TJ Watt, Myles Garrett, and Bradley Chubb, Hunter is forgotten. He only received 4 All Pro votes from AP (of a possible 50). He failed to make PFF’s All Pro team. Is it because he wasn’t a 1st round pick? Is it because the Vikings defense was already dominant before his arrival?
Hunter has improved every year he’s gotten into the league (88 pressures this year vs 67 last year vs 55 in 2016). His first couple years in the league, he rotated in behind Everson Griffen and Brian Robinson. Yet he holds the record for most sacks before his 25th birthday and was one of only a handful of players in 2019 with double digit sacks and 15+ TFLs last season. He earned an 89.0 overall grade from PFF and forced 3 fumbles this year.
Beyond the numbers, Hunter is a unit. He came out of LSU as one of the more raw pass rushers in his draft. However, under the tutelage of the mighty Andre Patterson, Hunter has become one of the most athletic, versatile, technical, dominant edge defenders in the game. He can beat you with a pure bull rush, but he can also beat you with his speed and agility. He’s picked up Everson Griffen’s deadly spin move and has the motor to work through double teams. He can win with an inside move, or he can play pure 3T for an entire game (a la vs NO). He’s got a great understanding of the game and is a force to be reckoned with. If you’re placing bets for DPOY in 2020, don’t waste your money on the big name guys like Aaron Donald (+750) or Khalil Mack (+1100). Don’t spend it on young up and comers, lke Nick Bosa (+1300) or TJ Watt (+1500) either. Place it on Danielle Hunter (+2300). He’s going to continue dominating as he gains more recognition and climbs toward stardom.

#19 - Chris Godwin - Wide Receiver - Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/R N/R
Written By: MysticTyph00n
At the beginning of the 2019 NFL season Bruce Arians said:
"I think Chris Godwin is going to be close to a 100-catch guy, especially because I think he can play in the slot,"...."He's never coming off the field."
Bucs fans thought this could be very well true in BA's system, especially with the departure of Desean Jackson which only really left Mike Evans as the only other real target on the team.
The 3rd round pick from Penn State showed up big time this year after having two relatively quiet seasons. Through 13.5 games (missing the final 2.5 due to a hamstring injury) he amassed 86 receptions for 1,333 yards, 9 TDs and only one drop(In fact he's only had 2 drops total in 2018 & 2019)He very well could have gone over 100 receptions , 1,500 yards as well as double digit TDs, but that's just projecting right?
According to PFF he was an absolute monster in the slot with an outstanding 96.5 grade, which shows he can line up anywhere on the field and still produce big time for the Buccaneers.
In 2020, I honestly expect Chris Godwin to have close to the same production, and possibly even better with how much he produces from the slot.
Please don't leave us…

#18 - Quenton Nelson - Offensive Guard - Indianapolis Colts

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 70
Written By: Zzyzx8
Selecting a guard 6th overall was a bold movie for second year GM Chris Ballard, even one as highly touted as Quenton Nelson. Casual fans hated it, while draft junkies loved it. Two years later, it’s become clear that the pick was a home run. Nelson’s selection single handedly turned around a unit that was largely responsible for a slew of injuries to Andrew Luck into one of the best units. Nelson’s second year was only better, cementing himself as one of the best guards in the league, a true road grader. He spent the past year terrorizing nfl defensive lineman en route to his second pro bowl and all pro selections. Plus, he pulled off what was by far the best touchdown celebration of the season

#17 - Jamal Adams - Strong Safety - New York Jets

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/R 18
Written By: the_fuzzy_stoner robdog1330
I would just like to start with a moment of silence for the fans of the New York Jets after Jamal Adams recently demanded a trade from that inept organization with a dumpster fire of a coach in Adam Gase.
Anyways, after an incredible sophomore season, Adams has kept up with his awesome play in his third season as one of the NFL's best and most versatile defensive players as well as the clear-cut best player on a football team that somehow won seven games. Adams, also known as President 'Mal, recorded an interception (which was returned 61 yards to the house), 7 passes defended, 11 hurries, and 36 stops, but that's not all! Adams also garnered 6.5 sacks (which is amazing for a DB) and forced two fumbles (like this one he returned to the house on my guy Daniel Jones 😔). With his exceptional play, the star safety was named to the 1st Team All-Pro as well as his second Pro Bowl selection (an honor which none of his other Jets teammates got this year).
What makes Adams so special is that he is exceptional against both the running and passing game. Whether he's with Gang Green or another franchise next year, I'd expect another stellar season out of Jamal Adams in 2020 (assuming there is one) and even as a Giants fan who watched him dominate my team this past season, I really appreciate the guy's play.

#16 - Derrick Henry - Running Back - Tennessee Titans

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/R N/R N/R
Written By: broccolibush42
DERRRRIIIICK HENRY!!!
This part man part tractor was the plow that turned our barren field into a bountiful wheat field full of Nashville Hot Chicken. This beautiful muscly man with a poop rat tail decimated opponents and General Sherman'd the AFC South. Totaling at 1540 yards and 16 Touchdowns in 15 games, with 6 coming from a slow start in a Mariota lead offense, he caught fire and dragged his nuts all over teams like the Chargers, Chiefs, Jags, Colts, Texans, Raiders and was showing just absolute dominance on the field. (Sadly we arent able to take the playoffs into account otherwise i'd gush over how he embarrassed a couple of scrub one and done teams).
Henry has this certain tenacity and a godlike level of endurance that just makes him an absolute beast in the 2nd half. He is just able to keep going, and going, and going, until finally, players get tired of it and turn into lead blockers for him. He is extremely hard to tackle to. Take a look at this play against the Chiefs in week 10, guys just bounce off him like he's running through toddlers. Derrick Henry is so hard to tackle that, according to PFF, Henry had over 1200 of his 1540 total yards after contact. Like this dude was getting hit at the line of scrimmage and he is just like, fuck this shit, i aint no dion lewis, and keeps going. How is this guy even real???
Another thing about Henry is his speed! Henry is a 6'3" 240 pound dude running 20+ MPH down the field when he breaks the open one. Like look at this speed he gets vs the Browns in week 1. Or this one against the Jags where he outruns guys and stiff arms the ones who barely managed to keep pace. Speaking of stiff arms, Derrick Henry has one of, if not, the BEST Stiff Arm in the league. If I had to pick a way to die, I think I would like Henry to stiff arm me in the face running at me at 21 miles per hour with this face, because there would be no greater honor to a titans fan than death by Henry. That concludes my Henry jerk fest. Here are some more highlights. and here are the real link.

#15 - Travis Kelce - Tight End - Kansas City Chiefs

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
N/A N/R 84 N/R 28 31 13
Written By: DTSportsNow
Travis Kelce was drafted in the 3rd round of the 2013 draft. He wound up missing his rookie season due needing to receive microfracture surgery on his knee over the offseason and dealing with a bone bruise during the season. Since then he's received 4 All-Pro designations and was named to the NFL 2010s All-Decade team. He's also become the 1st TE in NFL history to have 4 straight 1,000+ yard seasons. Not bad considering how his career got started.
In 2019 he finished his 2nd straight season of 1,200+ yards and 3rd straight season leading the league in deep receiving yards by a tight end (274). He finished top 4 in overall TE grade for the 4th straight year (85.1), and was named to his second 2nd-team All-Pro designation. In the Sunday Night Football contest against the Chicago Bears he caught his 500th career reception, becoming the fastest TE in NFL history to reach that mark.
There's no doubt that Kelce is one of the best tight ends in the game, and winding up in the top 20 proves many believe him to be one of the very best players in the league. Since Gronk's decline it's essentially been between him and George Kittle for the top player at the position. He's a key component of what Andy Reid and the Chiefs like to do on offense, even as stacked as the offence is. With a Super Bowl victory and a few records to his name already his legacy will be decided by how long he can keep up his premier play. His partnership with Patrick Mahomes should take him to a locked up Hall of Fame bust.

#14 - Ryan Ramczyk - Offensive Tackle - New Orleans Saints

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 100 74
Written By: Dahki
In 2017, sb nation wrote an article claiming that Ryan Ramczyk wasn't a first round talent at LT. The site went so far as to say he would benefit from a switch to RT. In short, they ended up nailing that on the head. The three-year vet has spent almost the entirety of his career anchoring the right side of the Saints O-line after being picked at 32 overall, and boy, has it worked out for both the team and the Wisconsin alum.
Ram makes the /nfl top 100 list for two reasons. First, he was really good. Second, we really wanted to hammer in the idea that the Saints O-line as a whole was really good. Most notably, Ram exits the 2019 season with his first first-team all pro, and he was more than deserving of it. Similar to teammate Terron Armstead, Ram refused to allow Brees or Teddy to be touched, giving up no sacks on the season. Even better, Ram kept his QBs almost squeaky clean in the pocket, allowing just one hit on the entire season, good for 2nd best in the league among nominated tackles. And Ram didn't just do well in pass pro; he was PFFs top graded OT when run-blocking, showcasing his power and quickness from his spot. In total, Ram spent the 2019 season as the biggest challenge for opposing D-lines to overcome when facing the Saints.

#13 - Julio Jones - Wide Receiver - Atlanta Falcons

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
32 93 23 8 2 21 17
Written By: CokeZ3ro
It's a bird, it’s a plane, no it's Jet Jones! In his 9th season Julio continues to be one of the most dominant receivers in the NFL, and the undisputed best player on the team. He’s a force that defenses must give their full attention, and even then he can explode. Even when he doesn’t get the ball, his influence and abilities still shape the play, and better everyone around him. This past offseason Julio agreed to a three-year contract extension worth $66 million, making him the NFL’s highest paid WR, and extending him to 2023. Even though 2019 was a down year statistically, Julio continued to show why the money is worth it. In a “down year” Julio was 2nd in reception yards, 3rd in Yards/Game, and 1st in Scrimmage Yards/Touch, and made his 6th consecutive Pro-Bowl.
But stats can hardly capture the elite combination of athleticism and skill that makes Julio so great. A combination perfectly captured here where Julio is able to jump over the coverage of CB Leodis McKelvin and then tiptoe to complete the coverage on the way down. Later that same game, with the Falcons against the wall, Julio showed that no man can catch him in a 53-yard burst (shoutout to Jake Matthews for the Pancake Block). Julio utilized his route skills to make CB Pierre Desir eat turf before making a 34-yard reception; which likely would have been much more if Ryan didn’t underthrow it. He’s pretty good at catching too, exhibited as reaches over CB Quincy Wilson and manages to hold onto the ball through tackles from Wilson and SS Clayton Geathers to score. Doesn’t matter who you are, Luke Keuchly, Marshon Lattimore, AJ Bouye; doesn’t matter. bUt hE dOEsn’T gET tOUchDoWnS I hear the Fantasy owners say. Watch this and notice how often in the redzone Julio is serving to support his team (blocks, inside presence, taking double defenders), or is just ignored. He’s open more often people realize.
Even in a disappointing season for the Falcons, Julio continues to shine through as one of the NFL’s premiere combos of athleticism and skill. Julio is and will continue to be an absolute force for the offense.

#12 - Chandler Jones - EDGE - Arizona Cardinals

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
N/R N/R N/R N/R 60 24 100
Written By: Beehay
In my write up of ChanJo last year, I mentioned that the return to the 3/4 (even if it's under Vance Joseph) will be huge for his stats. And boy howdy was it! At 30 years old and after double digit sack totals for 5 straight years, Jones set a career high of sacks at 19 this year. He had 8 Forced Fumbles, 53 Tackles, and 26 QB hits. Most of his stats improved from 2018, some more drastically than others. His pass coverage marginally improved but why the hell would you really want him to cover guys? (Don't say it Niners fans, DON'T SAY IT)
Chandler Jones is the prototype for edge defenders. He is what all other Defensive Coordinators wish they had. Strong, fast, smart, consistent. Here's a guys opinion and a breakdown. Here's some highlights because not everybody watched all 16 Cardinals games last year and I don't blame them. I think he will rank even higher next year if he stays healthy because he will finally get to settle into a defense again. Even if it's Vance Joseph's.

#11 - Ronnie Stanley - Offensive Tackle - Baltimore Ravens

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/R N/R 97
Written By: Letsgomountaineers5
Where to begin with Ronnie Stanley? Oh, how about a nearly minute long clip of him absolutely bullying First Team All Pro and NFC DPOY Chandler Jones. You like that? (Sorry Cards fans, but hey we all know Chandler Jones is a beast). Ronnie Stanley was the best LT in the league. No wait, actually he was the best overall tackle in the league. Actually, Stanley was the best lineman in the league, bar none. I truly believe Stanley was a top 5 player in the NFL last season and even tried (and failed/came to senses) to argue Stanley as a top 2 player. His dominance on the left side of that line was unprecedented.
I know stats don’t paint the entire picture, especially for OL, but I have to start there because his stats were unworldly as a blindside protector facing the best pass rushers the NFL has to offer. Going against the likes of TJ Watt twice a year, Carlos Dunlap twice a year, Myles Garrett, Chandler Jones, Nick Bosa, Shaq Barrett (need I go on), he allowed zero sacks and six pressures on 445 pass blocking snaps. Of tackles with at least 400 pass blocking snaps to allow 6 pressures or less, he was the only one. Wait, the only one? Let’s expand. 10 pressures on 400 snaps? Hmm. Only Ronnie Stanley. 15? Hmm only Ronnie Stanley. 20 and no sacks? Only Ronnie Stanley. Unreal.
So how does he do it? Well for starters, he has an elite pass rusher’s explosion as an offensive lineman. He can pack a pop that will knock the best rushers off line or on their ass without overextending. Just ask Nick Bosa. Refer back to the Chandler Jones lowlight reel for a second and check out how often he simply beats Jones (one of the most explosive and best bending edge rushers in the game) to his spot time and time again. Stanley is out of his stance so fast it looks like he’s false starting and, be it film review/sixth sense/sheer athleticism (my money is on all three), he hits the pass rushers’ marks before they do. Sometimes, he even chips defenders to the ground he doesn’t have a responsibility for. Because of these reasons, he’s basically the only lineman in the game not playing catchup and is tremendously equipped to react to counters. In the run game, he was a driving reason behind that team’s record setting running success. He can be a mauler, but with his speed also can pull like the best guards in the game and lead block for some of the fastest players in the game.
At the end of the day, his dominance in both pass blocking and run blocking makes him a worthy top 15 player, and if not for a tendency to underrate linemen, I believe he should’ve been a shoe-in for the top 10. If you read this far, thank you. Now I need to go puke after that glowing endorsement for a Raven.

LINK TO 2019 POSITIONAL GROUPING TRACKER

LINK TO 2019 RANKER SHEETS

LINK TO HUB

Schedule Change

Unveiling of ranks 10-6 will take place Monday, July 6 instead of Tuesday. Unveiling of ranks 5-1 will take place on Thursday, July 9. Thank you!
submitted by MikeTysonChicken to nfl [link] [comments]

NFL Week 15: Top Prop Bets For All 32 Teams

With just three weeks of regular-season action remaining, let’s take a look at a prop bet for each NFL team:
Arizona Cardinals
Will the Cards (-105) will lead by more than 3.5 points at halftime? Prediction: Yes
We saw Arizona take care of business against the Giants, who have a better scoring defense than the Eagles. Plus, the Cardinals are averaging almost 13 points per game in the first half while Philly is being held to just 8.8 points. Cards lead by a TD or more at halftime.
Atlanta Falcons
Will the Falcons (+114) score first? Prediction: Yes
The Buccaneers have proven they get off to slow starts. The Bucs are 17th in first-quarter scoring offense while Atlanta is fourth in the NFL. If Julio Jones can return from his hamstring injury, then I think the Falcons end up putting points on the board first.
Buffalo Bills
OveUnder: 3.5 turnovers forced by the Bills’ Defense. Prediction: Over
This is a nightmare matchup for the Broncos. Denver currently leads the NFL in giveaways with 29 on the season while the Bills are tied for third in takeaways. The Broncos lead the league in interceptions thrown. I expect them to turn the ball over a few times when they face Buffalo.
Baltimore Ravens
OveUnder: 249.5 rushing yards against the Jags this weekend. Prediction: Over
The Ravens come into this weekend with the number one rushing attack in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Jags have the third-worst rushing defense in the league. Jacksonville just allowed the Titans to run for 249 yards. I expect Baltimore to do even better on the ground.
Carolina Panthers
OveUnder: 6.5 catches for Robby Anderson Prediction: Over
Robby Anderson is eighth in the NFL in receptions and averages over six catches per game. I expect the Packers to go up big in this game meaning Carolina will have to try and force the ball downfield with long passes. As a result, Anderson will finish with a big game despite the Panthers losing big in the end.
Cincinnati Bengals
Will Cincinnati (+112) be the first team to kick a field goal? Prediction: Yes
The Bengals have the misfortune of going up against the Steelers after they lost their last two games. I can see this one getting out of hand in a hurry. However, I do think Cincy does get close enough to make the first field goal of the game. The Steelers won’t need to settle for Field Goals because they will keep finding the end zone.
Cleveland Browns
OveUnder 17.5 first-half points for the Browns. Prediction: Over
Cleveland has really found their offensive groove. The Brownies are averaging 23 points per contest in the first half of their last three games, and two of those matchups were against teams with winning records! I think Cleveland s offense continues to roll against the G-Men.
Chicago Bears
Will the Bears (+140) lead at halftime? Prediction: Yes
The return of Akiem Hicks also makes this a brutal matchup for Minnesota’s offense. With former pro bowl Linebacker Eric Kendricks questionable for the game, I could see Chicago going into the fourth quarter of this game with a lead.
Dallas Cowboys
Will the Cowboys vs. 49ers go require overtime (+1400)? Prediction: Yes
This is one of those weird games where both teams are kind of dead in the water at the moment. However, the Boys have something to play for while the 49ers don’t. It also looks like Andy Dalton has found his rhythm in this offense. I think a field goal as time expires sends this game to overtime.
Denver Broncos
Will the Broncos (-105) score more than 21.5? Prediction: No
Denver has the third-worst scoring offense in the NFL ahead of only Cincinnati and both New York football teams. Even though Buffalo is towards the middle of the pack in scoring defense, I still don’t think the Broncos will score over 21 points. The Broncos will go down big early and abandon the run, meaning they will make plenty of mistakes in the passing game. Denver scores maybe 17 points.
Detroit Lions
OveUnder 26.5 pass attempts by the Lions against the Titans Prediction: Under
The Lions are one of the most pass-happy teams in the NFL. However, Matthew Stafford suffered a rib injury against the Packers so his status for this weekend is up in the air. If Stafford doesn’t play, then there is no way the Lions throw the ball more than 26 times.
Green Bay Packers
OveUnder: 3.5 combined TDs scored (+148) in the first half? Prediction: Yes
Even though this prop bet includes both teams, I think the Packers alone will score at least four touchdowns in the first half of their game against the Panthers I mean, the Pack do average 31.5 points per game. I think Green Bay feasts against one of the NFL’s least impressive scoring defenses.
Houston Texans
OveUnder: 2.5 first-half touchdowns allowed by the defense. Prediction: Under
The Texans’ defense is absolute garbage. However, I think they were embarrassed by a Chicago Bears team that was sick of hearing about Deshaun Watson I think last week’s game was an outlier for Houston. The Texans return to form and hold Indy to just two first-half touchdowns this weekend.
Indianapolis Colts
Will the Colts (-225) lead after the first quarter? Prediction: No
As I mentioned before, the Texans were absolutely embarrassed in their last game. I think Houston comes out and hist the ground running on Sunday and manages to score the first points of the game. Let’s not forget that the Colts only won 26-20 when these teams played in week 13.
Jacksonville Jaguars
OveUnder: 1.5 different players attempt a pass for the Jaguars. Prediction: Over
I think this game is going to look a lot like the Jags’ matchup with the Titans In that one, we saw Jacksonville go down big and call in Gardner Minshew to relieve Mike Glennon I think we could see the same thing happen again this weekend. I would also not be surprised to see a trick play that leads to a wide receiver attempting a pass.
Kansas City Chiefs
OveUnder: 0.5 Interceptions thrown by Patrick Mahomes. Prediction: Under
Even though 80% of his INTs have come on the road this season, I think Patrick Mahomes has a mistake-free game against the Saints. Also, the game is being played on turf where Mahomes has thrived (8 TDs to 0 INTs). The Kansas City phenom will have another excellent outing this weekend.
Las Vegas Raiders
Does Derek Carr throw for more than 264.5 passing yards (-113)? Prediction: No
Carr is currently 12th in passing yards this season and averages about 257 passing yards per game. I like his numbers, but I do not like this matchup. The Chargers are seventh in passing yards per game allowed. Therefore, I see the raiders attacking LA on the ground instead of through the air.
Los Angeles Chargers
Will Justin Herbert (-181) throw over 1.5 touchdowns? Prediction: Yes
The rookie QB has not been great so far in the month of December. He was limited to two passing TDs in his last two games. I think he gets back on track this week against a mediocre Las Vegas defense that allows opponents to score 30.1 points per game.
Los Angeles Rams
OveUnder: 4.5 turnovers forced by the Rams’ defense. Prediction: Over
An immovable force meets an incredibly stoppable object when the Rams defense goes up against the Jets’ offense. LA is tied for third in turnovers forced while the Jets are one of the most turnover-prone teams in the NFL. I think the Rams’ front four causes Darnold to see Ghosts once again.
Miami Dolphins
Will the Dolphins (-128) lead after the first quarter? Prediction: No
We all saw how Bill Belichick and the Patriots squashed Justin Herbert so I expect the Pats to give Tua Tagovailoa fits this weekend also. I think New England will force Tua to make an early mistake that will give the Pats the ball in an excellent position to score. Eventually, the Pats will be leading by the end of the first quarter.
Minnesota Vikings
OveUnder: 2.5 Touchdowns scored by Minnesota Wide Receivers. Prediction: Over
The Vikes have a pretty good passing attack. The Tight Ends and Running Backs are fine, but the Wide receivers are excellent. Wide Outs have accounted for 20 of Kirk Cousins 27 touchdowns. I’m taking Thielen and Justin Jefferson to go for at least three TDs in their matchup with Chicago
New England Patriots
Will New England (+115) lead at halftime? Prediction: Yes
As I said, I think the Pats know how to gameplan for rookie QBs. New England will force a few mistakes from Tua, and the Pats will be able to take advantage of good field position. I could see the Patriots going into the half with a three- or four-point lead.
New Orleans Saints
OveUnder: 29.5 pass attempts by Taysom Hill Prediction: Over
Sean Payton has made it clear that Taysom Hill is his number two guy. He is even beginning to get comfortable with him passing the ball more (75 pass attempts in the last two games). I think the Chiefs will be ahead in this game the whole time, so New Orleans will have to throw the ball a lot since they will be playing from behind.
New York Giants
OveUnder: 2.5 Offensive Touchdowns for the Giants Prediction: Under
Offense has not been the Giants strong suit. I guess that’s why they’re 31st in the NFL in scoring. New York’s anemic offense has only registered four touchdowns in the last three games. I don’t see their offense suddenly exploding against a 9-4 Cleveland Browns team. Take the under.
New York Jets
Are the Jets the first team to score (+195)? Prediction: Yes
I’m not crazy. The Jets actually have a good first possession offense. They have scored on their opening drive in their last seven games. I guess it makes it all that much worse that they are 0-13 despite taking an early lead in most games. Gang Green scores first in this one.
Philadelphia Eagles
OveUnder: 90.5 rushing yards for Jalen Hurts Prediction: Under
Hurts gets the nod once again after leading the Eagles to a win over the Saints He had 167 yards through the air and another 106 on the ground. I think he won’t be as effective as he was rushing the ball this week though. The Cardinals know how to defend running QBs since they practice against one every day.
San Francisco 49ers
Does Raheem Mostert rush for at least 48 yards (-112)? Prediction: Yes
The 49ers have been decimated by injuries all season, so the running back position has been a revolving door for San Fran. However, Mostert is clearly the lead man when he is healthy. He leads the team in yards and rushing attempts. I am sure he will go for at least 75 yards against Dallas.
Seattle Seahawks
Will Russell Wilson throw for more than 2.5 Touchdowns (+130)? Prediction: Yes
The Hawks had their get right game against the Jets stomping New York on their way to a 40-3 win. It is clear that Seattle needs Russell Wilson to be amazing if they want to be competitive. It only seems necessary that Wilson throws at least three TDs since their defense can’t stop anybody (except the Jets).
Pittsburgh Steelers
Can the Bengals hold Big Ben to one passing touchdown (+140)? Prediction: No
The Steelers have lost two consecutive games after starting the season 11-0. They head into their matchup with Cincy motivated to right the ship. I‘m sure they will, and it starts with Ben Roethlisberger throwing for AT LEAST three TDs. The last time they played the Bengals he threw four, so I think three makes sense.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
OveUnder: 289.5 passing yards for Tom Brady. Prediction: Over
This is going to be one of those games where the Bucs are going to have to put up a tone of points. I think Atlanta s receivers are good enough to give Tampa Bay nightmares. In conclusion, TB12 is going to have to sling the ball all over the field if the Buccaneers want to be competitive.
Tennessee Titans
Can Derrick Henry go for at least 110.5 rushing yards (-115)? Prediction: Yes
Nobody has been able to stop the freight train that is Derrick Henry The 2019 rushing champ is only eight yards away from surpassing his rushing total from last season. I expect Henry to have a field day against a weak Lions defense that is 29th in rushing yards allowed per game.
Washington Football Team
OveUnder: 1.5 sacks for Chase Young against the Seahawks. PREDICTION: OVER
Chase Young has been wreaking havoc all over the football field this season. The former number two overall pick has recorded 5.5 sacks and 35 tackles so far this season. I expect Young to have two sacks against a Seahawks team that has allowed the fourth-most sacks in the NFL this season.
submitted by OddsUSA to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

CreateYoureReality NFL Week 12 Sunday Games Analysis and Picks

Week 11 Recap: Aye! First week I don't post pics here and it's our biggest week of the year! Luckily for us, and all of my private subs that received my gold play, we had a nice win! (56u for us!)
Since I did not post any of my picks in this sub, I will not count them towards this subs win/loss totals. As always, only bets posted prior to game time on this sub count towards my totals so you (the readers) can have as accurate of an ROI (of this subs posts) as possible. That ROI is considerably lower than my private subs, but has been winning since the inception of this sub a few seasons ago. Lets keep the train rolling and finish the year strong! 💪🤑
Singles (0u)
Parlays (0u)
Teasers (0u)
BBDLS (0u)
Hopefully everyone had a wonderful Thanksgiving. Now let's get back to work!

Sunday Games

Las Vegas at Atlanta: This week we open up with a game that features last weeks primetime losers. The Raiders lost to the Chiefs last week, but to be honest it was one of the best games I have ever seen Carr play. His focus looked dialed in. However, as is the Raiders current weakness, their defense could not hold off Patty Cakes and the Chiefs on a last minute drive.
Atlanta is also coming off a loss. They were taken down by Taysum Hill and the Saints. Ryan was sacked like a bajillion times and Hill looked...OK.
Both teams have a potent offense and weak-ish defenses. Both teams defenses rank in the top 15 in rush stopping, but in the bottom 3 in pass stopping. This would make you think that there is going to be a ton of passing, a ton of yards, and a ton of points. However, there seems to be heavy sharp action on the Under and the total has even dropped almost a full Field Goal since open.
I am a little nervous as my algo has this game closer to a pick-em than a Raiders road favorite by a FG. However, the Raiders have scored at least 30 in 3 straight, they are protecting Carr well (1 sack in total in last 3) and they are 4-1 ATS on the road this year. My algo does see more value on the Falcons catching points if we are looking at spreads (now that it has crossed to 3) However I can't trust the Falcons (all three of their wins came against losing record teams...Vikings, Panthers, Broncos), and the Raiders were my dark horse this year so I will RAREly take against them.
Give me the Silver and Black to win.

Arizona at New England: This game is quite the conundrum. You would think if NE had playoff aspirations and an opportunity to beat this AZ Cards team that they would have taken care of business last week vs the struggling Texans. However as we saw, they could not.
Arizona is coming off some rest after having played last Thursday in a road loss to the Seahawks.
Who really knows what to expect in this game. The only thing that has me reluctant to hop all over Arizona is NE is home (cold outside weather compared to the AZ dome) and Sony Michel should be back for NE. And it looks like my algo and Vegas algo came up with a similar line as my algo likes AZ 25, NE 23 for a AZ -2 and total (almost the same as what it launched at)
IF this was a normal QB All of that info would have me riding the home team catching the two. However, Belichick notoriously has trouble with mobile QBs(as they are generally harder to scheme against because they have more nodes in their decision tree every play)
So, it seems as if this game is pretty evenly matched and that's most likely why Vegas opened it as a pick-em. Just let the market decide.
Since the winner of the game is close to a coin flip, we will look at other opportunities for wagers here.
Both teams have rushing QBs that are on pace to Challenge the overall best season rush TD leader (Cam Newton at 14) Currently Murray has 10 and Newton has 9. I would be looking for both players to take the opportunity to add to their totals if they are within 10 yards of the red zone.

NY Giants at Cincinnati: So Sad to see Burrow go down. Seriously. Him and Herbert look Fantastic and both (given some decent line play and eventually a defense) should make some runs in the years to come. Good news for the Giants (and anyone betting them) is Burrow was literally Cincinnati's way of winning. Without him, I fear(for Cincy) that they won't have a chance to win another game this year.
The Giants are fresh off a bye and before that an upset win over the Eagles. To be honest, with the way the Giants defense is playing, if Jones can continue to protect the ball on offense this Giants team has a good opportunity to pick up the NFC East. Even if they only win this game and Week17 vs the Cowboys that would put them at 5-10 (but 4-2 in the division) and most likely give them tiebreakers over the Washington and Cowboys if they shared a similar 5-10 record.
With a new QB starting for Cincy I think it is also important to note New York's defense has also held opponents without a touchdown in the first half for three straight games. Also, Mixon is done...Gio B is questionable. This could be a mirror of last weeks score in the Detriot-Carolina game...
Great teaser spot (NYG to win)

Cleveland at Jacksonville: This is one of the scariest favorites I will be riding today. It should be a gimmie game for Cleveland as they build momentum on an easy schedule to finish out the regular season and have a playoff birth. However, this week in particular, their defense is riddle with injury and Covid. Myles Garrett will miss his second consecutive game with coronavirus issues as will linebacker Sione TakiTaki. Cornerback Denzel Ward will also miss a few games with a knee injury. Kevin Stefanski said he expects the Browns to also be without fullback Andy Janovich, and defensive end Joe Jackson, who are on the list. Offensive lineman Chris Hubbard is also on the list, but Stefanski said he "has a chance" to return.
On the other side of the ball we have ANOTHER QB change. This time we will see Mike Glennon. I have NO idea why Jacksonville would do this. Lutton was playing fantastic. I am hoping it is because they would like to keep or improve their position in the draft order and they don't want to make the same mistake they made last year when Mustache Mania got them some press and a win or two, but hurt their draft order.
I would say the most reliable wager to look at in this game would be Chubb and Hunts props. They are the workhorses for this team and I expect Stefanski to utilize them as much as possible as to limit how much time his banged up defense has to spend on the field against a QB they have little to no film on.
Great teaser spot (Cleveland to win)

Carolina at Minnesota: Carolina off delivering a crushing upset to the Lions last week. Minnesota stepping off the Red Rocket ride as they were upset by the Cowboys last week. It is not 100% yet, but it looks like MIN will be without Thielen.
My algo has this one closer to a Pick-em/ Min -1 so it seems rather hard to lay three and the hook vs. a rested Teddy B, returning to face his old team. However, taking Carolina (even though I get the FG and hook) seems like a scary side as MIN has Jacksonville next week and with a win here could easily be 6-6 and it would make for a delicious hyped up match vs the Bears.
Still, if youre going to choose a spread side, my algo is leaning Carolina.
However, my algo is also saying, forget the spread. There is much better value to be found in props. Both of these teams have an offence that can move the ball. Both of these teams have a defense that is suspect. Min has a poor pass defense, while Carolina has a poor rush defense. I would look for the usual for Minnesota (Lean HEAVY on Dalvin Cook with some 2nd half play action passes to Jefferson) But I would also look at Teddy B to come back and have a day throwing against this MIN defense. Possible Same game parlay game.
Great teaser spot (Total Over) Games in Minn this year are averaging 62.8ppg and the o/u is 5-0

Tennessee at Indianapolis: THE REMATCH FOR THE AFC TITLE One of the more exciting match-ups. A repeat of a few weeks ago where the Colts got the best of the Titans. There are a few concerns before picking either side here. First and foremost is the Titans are getting 2/3s of the tickets and money, but the line has only dropped one point and has NOT crossed through 3. Logic would dictate if 70% of the money is on the team getting the FG here that books would lower it to 2.5 and encourage action on the home team, thus balancing the book. The fact that it hasn't yet, is worrisome for looking at TEN.
However on the other side, nine Colts did not practice this week, including offensive linemen Quenton Nelson (back/ankle) and center Ryan Kelly (neck). Defensive backs Rock Ya-Sin (illness), S Khari Willis (ribs/shoulder) S Justin Blackmon (illness) also sat out. DT Buckner, DE Autry and LB Okereke are ALL RULED OUT. Main components of the defense that is holding strong as one of the best this year. This might give Mr. Henry the opportunity to EAT even more than he did in the first match up (like 110 yards in that one) This has me hesitant to look at the Colts. But VERY EXCITED to look at Henry's props.
Great teaser spot (Tenn spread and/or Game total Over) Getting them up over the key numbers in a divisional battle where the Colts defense should be tested missing key players.

LA Chargers at Buffalo: The Chargers have given up 27 or more points in their last six straight games, but are coming off a win vs. the Jets. Herbert, as he has all season, looked fantastic. And the Charger defense, as it has all season, looked like trash. Buffalo hasn't played in two weeks. The last time they did saw them lose on a last second hail-mary pass to D Hop.
So, just like a few of the games today, both teams have decent offenses that can move the ball and sub par defenses that have trouble stopping anyone. Buffalo does have a slight defensive advantage here as they do have a better pass rush than the Chargers.
Buffalo will however be missing a few players for this one. John Brown is still out and offensive lineman Cody Ford was recently injured and will miss the rest of the season.
The Chargers could see a BIG BOOST if Austin Eckler starts in this one. Herbert has already shown he boosts the abilities of the players he is throwing too, if Eckler comes back in, the Chargers could get few wins to end the year.
My algo actually has this game as -1 and a 51 as the total so naturally my algo leans Chargers.
I do fear the fact that the Bills are coming off a hard loss and then a bye, I would be WAY more likely to back the Chargers straight up here if the Bills had Won the game before the bye. Either way, this game looks like a teaser opportunity just like the game before it.
Great teaser spot (LAC spread and/or Game total Over) Like it less if Eckler is not back yet

Miami at NY Jets: Well, well, well. Another Miami game, AND another Jets game. AT THE SAME TIME. Miami looked horrible last week in a loss to the Broncos (which if you read last week, we flagged as a do not bet Miami spot, trap from Vegas) The Jets also lost, but looked much better than they have all season.
This weeks Jets will be a little different, it looks like we are going to see the return of Sam Darnold. Which is interesting to me because halfway though the season I looked at the Jets schedule and thought their most likely games for a win in the back half of the season were weeks 11, 12, and 17. If they were tanking for a QB, wouldn't they still ride with Flacco, not caring about his overall record? I mean, they can still tank with Darnold, but why would they lower his trade value by letting him lose out the season before they trade him and draft a new QB? I feel like it's more likely they are trying to start him to get a win and increase his trade value right before the end of the year. Also, Miami has a decent defense, but their weakest link is their run defense and the Jets just so happen to have an ex-Miami player in FRANK GORE, THE AGELESS WONDER. Is it possible that the Jets get an early lead and lean on Gore to carry them to their first and only win of the season?! Hey, the Jets are winless, BUT they have won the first half in 7 of 10 of their last day games at home. Also, over 80% of the tickets and 75% of the $ is on the Dolphins, yet the line has held steady at 7 and even dropped to 6.5 in some places!! Maybe a little sprinkle sprinkle action? 🤑

New Orleans at Denver: Another scary -6.5 spread. Both of these teams have formidable defenses. Denver's is average to below average, but they seem to do better at home in the altitude. (more than likely its because opposing offenses aren't used to it) This game has one of the lower totals on the day and there is increased RLM on the under. Taysom Hill won his first game, but it wasn't pretty. Now teams can build film on him and it's possible learn to contain him better. Denver has one of the lower red zone scoring allowed and Chubb and Reid are waking up this defense line as the season progresses. This reeealllly seems like the best opportunity for the lowest scoring game of the day and I will look to avoid ALL props in this one EXCEPT team totals and Field Goals.
In such a low scoring game script, I can't help but look at the spread with the home team catching almost a TD, it might also be an opportunity for another sprinkle on the 🐶
Great teaser spot (Game Total Under) Outside of a game with multiple defensive scores, I cant see either team hitting 25 points, teasing the total up to 50 and taking the under seems like a no brainer.
Update: Denver has no QBs. Covid. Dunno if the game will be played now...

San Francisco at LA Rams: No Jimmy G, No George Kittle. It is looking like Samuel and Moestart will be back for San Fran. Rams basically injury free.
San Fran is coming off a bye week and returning some players for a divisional game vs. a team that hasn't beaten them since 2018. You would think it's a no brainer ride with the dog catching points. However, the Rams are looking nice. As predicted as a gold play to my private subs, they took down the Bucs last week and now look to take control of the lead in the NFC West. They are also 4-0 at home since moving to their new stadium and have already toppled the Dallas offence with Dak, the Giants and the Bears defenses, and Seattle and chef Russ.
My algo does lean LA to get the win here and keep their home stadium record undefeated, however with RLM on the Under and most of the bets on LA with the line not moving at all, it is toooo dangerous to lay a full TD in a divisional game.
Great teaser spot (Rams to win) Rams should keep the train rolling and exact revenge for their 2019 season sweep by and this years loss to the 49ers

Kansas City at Tampa Bay: Why the fuck is this not the primetime night game? You're telling me if you are the schedule coordinator you think the public would rather watch the Chi/GB game? Give me a break. Anyway, it is what it is.
KC coming off a beautiful to watch win vs. the Raiders and Tampa Bay coming off a rough loss vs the Rams. Both on primetime last week. As expected 90% of the money is on KC right now... But the line has barely moved.
My algo has this as a 28-27 KC -1 prediction. So you know that means we HAVE to ride with the home team catching a FG and the hook. Besides, Brady has had some struggles this year, but only vs teams that have had a much better pass rush. KC pass rush just let the Raiders put up huge games, the panthers put up a ton...
Give me the Bucs in a bounce back game. With the Chiefs needing another 4th quarter comeback from Mahomey to stay in the race for the top seed in the AFC.
Great teaser spot (Tampa Bay spread) Getting this Brady lead team 10 points safety net in a game they win outright at least 25% of the time? EZ$

Chicago at Green Bay: Above, I asked why this wasn't the 4pm game and KC/TB the night game in this spot? It's because Vegas knows everyone and their mother will have GB ml tied into their Sunday parlays...and the Bears are going to win. 😱🙈
Game opened at 7/7.5 and when Mitch "the Bitch" was named starter it has moved up to 9/9.5. 🤨🤔
However, I think we will actually see Mitch "make you My Bitch"😎 in this game. Bears defense is legit. Probably only 4 or 5 I would place ahead of them. GB has been very unreliable over the last few weeks (loss to minn, ez win vs 49ers, barely win vs Jacksonville ...) I could Easily see the Bears holding Rodgers to 24 or less in this game. That means to cover the spread Mitch only has to score 15? With his defense giving him at least 1 or 2 great field positions... 🤑
My algo has this as GB -4.5 so I have NO Idea why the game opened over a TD AND has moved higher. The only logical guess I can make at that is the public money is all over Green Bay and Vegas loves taking the Bears to cover in this game.

Ravens at Steelers: Will not be written about. Too many variables, just avoid this game.

Seattle at Philadelphia: I will have Seattle Moneyline in any parlays/BBDLS/Teasers. Not only because my algo favors them to win, but because I LOVE having my parlays tied up with the Monday night favorite. When the wagers are still live going into the game, it allows me to make spread hedges with the dog. Also, since I have the favorite, I am most likely getting the best price on the favorite at the beginning of the week, and also the best price on the underdog just before game time. How lucky would it be if we have parlays live going into Monday night with Seattle moneyline and the spread for Philly gets all the way up to +7! Dream hedge opportunity 😍

Singles (68-86, -25.16u)
Parlays (6-23, +37.76u)
Teasers (2-2, +27.38u)
BBDLS (0-50, -41.89u)

Thank you for Reading. Good luck to everyone!
submitted by CreateYoureReality to CreateYoureReality [link] [comments]

CreateYoureReality NFL Week 10 Sunday Games Analysis and Picks

Week 10 TNF Recap: Whelp! 🙃 The algo was spot on with loving the Colts. However, my adjustments took me off the IND -9.5 Alt line I was going to play and put me on the HT/FT. Unfortunately it took Indy an extra quarter to get their defense rolling and they had a few shitty calls against them in the 1H. However, I did like the Colts to crush so I took a live play when they were down in the first quarter that was able to mitigate our losses. Big week 10 coming up, lets check out the games!
Singles (1-3, -5.05u)
Parlays (u)
Teasers (u)
BBDLS (u)

Sunday Games

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh: I have skipped over this game all week. And now, Saturday night, I sit down to write and I still am unsure. My algo has PIT at -7.5. But, Big Ben and a few other have had to miss physical practices all week due to Corona protocols. Cincy is off a HUGE win over TEN (our algo was on that) however they just went into the bye. I would have rather taken them coming out of the bye off a loss. IDK, I think for now we say ride the dog or pass. There are many better spots today.

Washington at Detroit: Garbage game of the week! Even though both of these teams have playoff chances... Washington is playing musical chairs with their QB over the last few weeks. This week it looks to be Alex Smith again. He looked relatively good vs the Giants last week. If it weren't for some poor WAS special teams play (that gave up 10 points to NY) That would have been a real game.
Detroit is coming off back to back losses giving up 41 and 34, and who knows what is going on there... Are they going to keep the Coach? Galloday? Stafford?! Also, Detroit may be without two starters on the offensive line this week... Detroit has been atrocious against the run this year. I would look at Washington utilizing their pass catching running backs in Gibson and JDM to control this game and take pressure off Smith having to do too much.
My algo has this game as a Pick-em so we are going to ride with the visitors. Another game worthy of a little sprinkle action 😎

Houston at Cleveland: Here we have an AFC match up that CLE should be picking up if they want to be a playoff team. It is understandable for them to lose to the other playoff teams, but anyone with a losing record is a Must.
They will be facing a Texans team that last week came out of the bye and got their second win of the season... YAY! However, it was against the Jags...Starting a rookie QB...and they almost let the game go to OT after having an 11 point lead in the 4th....
Cleveland themselves is coming out of their bye and it appears to be the best time for them to have had it. They did lose the game going into the bye vs. the Raiders, however 100 mph winds and dropped passes seemed to be the game there. Now, coming out of the bye with 2 weeks of rest, they are returning two key starters on offense. #1 is the obvious Nick Chubb... and #2 is the Guard Wyatt Teller who was injured during the game vs. the Colts. Both look on track to return healthy and take on a Texans defense that is dead-last in the NFL against the run this season, allowing a whopping 159.5 rushing yards per game.
Here is the weather report for Cleveland on Sunday, "Mostly cloudy and windy with rain that should be ending in the afternoon. High 54F. Winds SW at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Winds could occasionally gust over 50 mph. "
With the return of Chubb and Teller, the Texans horrible run defense, AND the weather concerns. I would expect Cleveland to get back to their roots and look to run the ball 60-65% of the time and mix in some play action shots.
My algo has this as 30-24 CLE however with the weather concerns and predicted game script I would lean on a much lower scoring game.
Some extra info to consider: Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games and they are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games as underdogs.

Jacksonville at Green Bay: Bottom of the barrel Jaguars travel to Green Bay to take on the rested Packers who are off a win 10 days ago vs. the 49ers. This should be a GB game all day. In fact, this is most likely going to be my pick in the $100M Golden Ticket on DK. This does point to a shootout with something like a GB 34-17 repeat performance. However, Just like the Browns game the weather report is dangerous for shootouts. "Cloudy and windy. There will be periods of light rain in the morning. High 41F. Winds W at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of rain 70%. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph." Rain and snow are manageable, but heavy winds make it a running game script more often than not.
My algo has GB 31-20 so I don't think I feel comfortable laying the 13.5. However, JAX is JAX, so I definitely don't feel comfortable laying with them on the road with a rookie QB in bad weather...
This game is most likely a pass for me except for some Aaron Jones props.

Philadelphia at NY Giants: Battle for the NFC EAST. Wow that sucks, considering these two teams have a combined record 5-11-1. Philly is coming out of a bye and returning a ton of offensive talent. "Alshon Jeffery will make his season debut after not receiving an injury designation, while Miles Sanders will start at running back for the first time since Week 6 (knee). Lane Johnson will start at right tackle after not receiving an injury designation. Jason Peters will start at left tackle. "
The Giants however are starting to come together defensively. Their offense is still meh, but their defense has kept them in their last 5 games (with two wins over WAS and 3 losses by a FG or less each time.
For me this come down to the same thing as the next game. Give me a home team, catching points, in a divisional game that is the second meeting.
Ehhh, during my morning poop I decided that the majority of bettors should be thinking the same thing here. Maybe I shouldn't overthink, but I'm back on the Eagles side. 💩

Tampa Bay at Carolina: Big game for Tampa Bay here. Losing last week to the Saints was a huge stumble for them, basically giving up control of winning their division. Carolina put up another hard fight and almost gave the Chiefs an upset, losing by only 2! In fact, since that last game vs. Tampa Bay the Panthers are 5-0 ATS when in the underdog role.
Normally, I would be all over Carolina. My algo actually has this as TB -4... Throw that in with TB having back to back poor showings prior and it seems like a perfect spot to take the home dog and the points.
However, when we look closer at when Brady has struggled this year, it's when the opposing team is generating pressure and creating sacks. Fortunately for Tampa Bay, Carolina does neither of those. The Panther have only 10 sacks and 23 QB hits so far this season. They are more of a drop back 7 or 8 and give up short stuff, but don't give up the long balls. Which is perfect for Brady to get back into his comfort zone.
Still even with Brady having more time in the pocket and TB probably righting the ship in the win column, I don't think there is value in the -6. Carolina is one of those pesky teams that is playing close games and this IS the second meeting for these two.
Extra notes: Brady 19-6 ATS after a loss. 7-1 ATS after a 20 points loss....On the other side, Bridgewater is 21-4 ATS in his career as an underdog including 5 straight covers as a dog this season...

Denver at Las Vegas: Another divisional matchup. This one features the up and down Broncos coming off a loss who are 2-2 since the return of Drew Lock taking on the Raiders who are having an up season starting the first half 5-3. Even though the Raiders are playing at home for the first time in weeks and are allowing fans to this game, my algo is still showing this as only LV -1. It heavily favors the over and likes a lean on the Raiders to win, but the spread is far too high for me to consider Las Vegas.
Could be a spot to look at the Broncos value with some points but Lock has been bad in the first 3 quarters of most of his games, only really getting hot in the 4th when teams are up and drop into prevent D. I could see him starting faster today since he is taking on a Raiders D, however I thought the same thing vs. ATL recently and he stunk it up.
Jerry Judy is my prop look in this one.

Buffalo at Arizona: Two similar high ceiling offenses meet in this one. At the start of the week I was all Buffalo. In fact, I took them on Thursday in my BBDLS with the Colts and others. However, after running the algo and checking the news my pick has shifted FIRMLY to the Cardinals. First of all, my algo spits this out a 25-28 game in AZ favor. However, with todays news of the Bills TE, two corners, and a safety on the covid list and not traveling for game, That pushes a lean to a strong lean.
Then, we look at each teams strengths and weaknesses. Both teams have potent offenses with mobile QBs and deep threat WRs, so basically a wash there. Defensively The Bills rush defense has been horrrrrible giving up 146 ypg over their last 5 games. On the other team, the AZ rush defense is not all the best, ranking overall 22nd in the league. So slight edge to AZ there. However, when we look at Buffalo losing their deep and edge players due to Covid this week I think we can safely say the edge is on the AZ side.
This is another perfect game to try a Same Game Parlay however I would be weary of the total. 56.5 is rather high. I like the over on 51 and below, but over 51 it loses its value.

LA Chargers at Miami: This is a game I am excited to watch. My algo really likes Herbert and Burrow so it will be exciting to watch at least one of them in this game. There isn't much to this one. My algo has it as a Pick-em. Miami has placed two starters in the front seven on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Chargers Starting RB is now Bellange, coming home for a revenge game against a weak front 7... Behind him is the best rookie QB we have seen since Patty cakes...
MIA had a surprisingly big win last week but that high emotion leads me to believe they will start this game a little flat. If LA gets a lead, this game is over.

Seattle at LA Rams: So this one actually hurts to write. I am a big SEA fan this year. I have a future on them to win the NFC and also the SB. However, I am also fond of this LA Rams team this year. I expected them to get over their SB slump (that the 49ers are in right now) and win at least 8/9 games this year.
My algo (as weird as it seems) is spitting out LAR -3.5 in a 27-23.5 style contest. I am still not sure I can place this bet on the Rams. Even tho the algo speaks, the Rams have only really beat the NFC East and the Bears this year. They haven't faced a QB like Russ yet, nor one that has weapons like DK and Lockett.
TBH this seems like the perfect game to middle on. Divisional battle. Possibly take SEA to +8.5 and balance it with some LAR ml or even LAR +3.5.

San Francisco at New Orleans: Beep Boop Beep Boop! Alert alert. This game is so confusing! I feel like NO could win easy 34-17, or SF could upset win some 27-24 grind out with some trick plays and jets sweeps.
Obviously because of those many possible scenarios, the value is found in SF +10. Seems to be the perfect spot for it too. SF lost a blowout on primetime last Thursday and the Saints won a blowout in primetime last Sunday. Public money should be alll over the Saints. If taking a big dog is too much of a sweat for you there are some decent props to look at in this game. SF is getting back a TON of offensive weapons and I expect them to look for a lot of short completions that allow the receivers a safer way to get yards.
As crazy as this sounds, my algo actually has SF as -1.5 for this matchup... Im guessing it is assuming Jimmy G and Kittle are in, along with Sanders and Thomas being out but still and 11 point difference is the biggest I have seen all year.

Baltimore at New England: Last game on the slate and it has the scariest feeling. I LOVE Baltimore this year. Outside of the Chiefs, they are my other AFC contender to go against the Seahawks in the Superbowl. The looked good last week bouncing back from their two losses to smack around the Colts team.
On the flip side, NE needed a 4th quarter comeback to beat... THE JETS.... who by the way, put up 30 on them...
Should be a slam dunk Baltimore go go go...
But what's scary to me is 94/93 % of the tickets AND the cash are on the Ravens. And allll week the line has barely moved. Even the Saints vs. the 49ers moved from 7.5-10 throughout the week.
So while I will need a Baltimore win to wrap up all my parlays and teasers on the day, some thing is very scary about those percentages. Vegas RARELY pays out 90 percent of bettors....

Singles (60-81, -35.26u)
Parlays (6-23, +37.76u)
Teasers (2-2, +27.38u)
BBDLS (0-44, -35.69u)
submitted by CreateYoureReality to CreateYoureReality [link] [comments]

prop bets ravens vs rams video

Ravens vs Rams Prop Bet All Ravens-Rams odds, lines and prop bets are Ravens at Rams: Week 12 preview, betting trends and notes New Jersey Monday Night Prop Bet Special! Bet $1, WIN $100 in free bets at BetMGM if the Los Angeles Rams record a first down against the Baltimore Ravens Monday, Nov. 25th, 2019. Ravens at Rams Betting Picks. Odds: Ravens -3.5 Over/Under: 47 Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET TV Channel: ESPN Odds as of noon ET on Monday. The Los Angeles Rams host the Baltimore Ravens for a Monday Night Football showdown, but a majority of the public is fading the home underdog. The Ravens (8-2) have covered four in a row, all emphatically, while the Rams (6-4) are on an 11-4 ATS run overall. RELATED: Ravens-Rams MNF Betting Preview Let’s take a look at some of the best bets fans of NFL betting should consider: With the bonus point, I finished the week 4-3 overall, bringing my record for the year to 113-116 (49.3 percent). Without further ado, let’s dive into the best prop bet from each Divisional Round game. All props are from DraftKings. Sign up today with my code and make a $25 deposit to receive a free $25 bet! Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers The Baltimore Ravens take on the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football of Week 12 Nick Mangold went 1-1 on his Week 11 props, bringing his record on props to 13-9 (+2.60 units); he’s 18-15 overall (+5.19 units) Ravens vs. Rams Prop Bets. Now let’s take a look at two of the top props worth considering for the Monday Night Football contest between the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Rams. Finish reading this entire article absolutely FREE in our app. GET OUR FREE APP . Rams RB Todd Gurley. Ravens vs. Rams Game Details. Date: Monday, November 24 Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Location: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum (Los Angeles, California) TV: ESPN Spread: Ravens -3 Total: 47.5 *All odds are The red-hot Baltimore Ravens head to Los Angeles to face the Rams on Monday Night Football. The Ravens have the NFL's highest scoring offense thanks to MVP front-runner Lamar Jackson while the 6-4 The total has hit the over in six of the last nine games between the Rams and the Ravens. The Ravens lead the all-time series with the Rams, 4-2. Last Meeting: November 22, 2015 — The Ravens defeated the Rams, 16-13, at M&T Bank Stadium. Prop Bet. All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook. To Score First and Win: Baltimore Ravens (+136)

prop bets ravens vs rams top

[index] [5751] [8960] [5598] [3698] [4198] [3795] [8423] [7093] [1843] [232]

prop bets ravens vs rams

Copyright © 2024 top.playrealmoneygametop.xyz